The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 33.7%
Draw 22.2%
Edmonton Oilers 44.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
21%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
20.5%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Edmonton Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.4%
35.3%
35.3%
Montreal Canadiens - Edmonton Oilers Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Edmonton will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 13.8% – 61.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Edmonton Oilers will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
75. Dobes J. (G)
30. Pickard C. (G)
45. Carrier A.
2. Bouchard E.
8. Matheson M. (A)
14. Ekholm M.
76. Bolduc Z.
18. Hyman Z.
14. Suzuki N. (C)
97. McDavid C. (C)
13. Caufield C.
93. Nugent-Hopkins R. (A)
Line 2
53. Dobson N.
75. Regula A.
48. Hutson L.
25. Nurse D.
93. Demidov I.
22. Savoie M.
91. Kapanen O.
29. Draisaitl L. (A)
20. Slafkovsky J.
92. Podkolzin V.
Line 3
42. Engstrom A.
49. Emberson T.
72. Xhekaj A.
24. Stastney S.
85. Texier A.
13. Janmark M.
62. Beck O.
19. Henrique A.
17. Anderson J.
10. Frederic T.
Line 4
11. Gallagher B. (A)
46. Jones M.
90. Veleno J.
20. Lazar C.
71. Evans J.
88. Mangiapane A.
Substitutes
35. Montembeault S. (G)
35. Jarry T. (G)
Coaches
. St. Louis M.
. Knoblauch K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
06:04, Kapanen O. (2 min),
06:04, Slafkovsky J. (2 min),
10:19, Regula A. (2 min),
16:56, Texier A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:17, Ekholm M. (2 min),
02:28, 1 - 0, Demidov I. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
08:37, Regula A. (2 min),
11:58, 2 - 0, Veleno J. (G),
19:46, Anderson J. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:47, Frederic T. (2 min),
03:38, 3 - 0, Suzuki N. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
12:03, Demidov I. (2 min),
12:29, 3 - 1, Hyman Z. (G), Bouchard E. (A), McDavid C. (A2)
13:52, 4 - 1, Texier A. (G), Struble J. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
Montreal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Edmonton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Edmonton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Edmonton has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Montreal: Dach K.
(Broken Leg)
Guhle K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
Newhook A.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Edmonton: Clattenburg C.
(Eye injury)
Kapanen K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Philp N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Roslovic J.
(Injury)
Walman J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Evans J.
(Personal Reasons)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 60:60. (average 3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 2.7:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 38.19%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Edmonton Oilers - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 40.76%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.