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Current Win Probability
Edmonton Oilers 50.4%
Draw 21.3%
Detroit Red Wings 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
21.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
20.7%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
23.1%
15.4%
Edmonton Oilers - Detroit Red Wings Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Detroit will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 35% – 88%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Edmonton (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Detroit (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
74. Skinner S. (G)
39. Talbot C. (G)
2. Bouchard E.
53. Seider M. (A)
14. Ekholm M.
77. Edvinsson S.
18. Hyman Z.
23. Raymond L. (A)
97. McDavid C. (C)
71. Larkin D. (C)
93. Nugent-Hopkins R.
58. Finnie E.
Line 2
75. Regula A.
44. Sandin-Pellikka A.
25. Nurse D. (A)
8. Chiarot B.
22. Savoie M.
88. Kane P.
29. Draisaitl L. (A)
18. Copp A.
92. Podkolzin V.
93. DeBrincat A.
Line 3
49. Emberson T.
52. Hamonic T.
27. Kulak B.
20. Johansson A.
13. Janmark M.
92. Kasper M.
19. Henrique A.
29. Danielson N.
10. Frederic T.
85. Soderblom E.
Line 4
86. Tomasek D.
48. Berggren J.
20. Lazar C.
37. Compher J.T.
88. Mangiapane A.
27. Rasmussen M.
Substitutes
30. Pickard C. (G)
36. Gibson J. (G)
Coaches
. Knoblauch K.
. McLellan T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
13:24, Kane P. (2 min),
14:25, 1 - 0, Hyman Z. (G), McDavid C. (A), Draisaitl L. (A2)
17:42, Savoie M. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:46, 2 - 0, Ekholm M. (G), McDavid C. (A), Nugent-Hopkins R. (A2)
05:41, 2 - 1, Edvinsson S. (G), Danielson N. (A), Soderblom E. (A2)
10:07, Ekholm M. (2 min),
17:48, 3 - 1, Hyman Z. (G), McDavid C. (A), Nurse D. (A2)
19:27, Chiarot B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:43, 4 - 1, Hyman Z. (G), McDavid C. (A), Draisaitl L. (A2)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 3.
Recent performances by Edmonton have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Detroit is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Edmonton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Edmonton has had a series of home games.
Recently, Detroit has had a series of away games.
Edmonton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Edmonton: Clattenburg C.
(Eye injury)
Kapanen K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Philp N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Roslovic J.
(Injury)
Walman J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Detroit: Appleton M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 65:61. (average 3.3:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:29. (average 3.6:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Edmonton Oilers - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.51%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.