The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 35.7%
Draw 21.9%
Edmonton Oilers 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
22.2%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
22.3%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
The chances for Edmonton Oilers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
36.4%
18.2%
Toronto Maple Leafs - Edmonton Oilers Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Edmonton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Hildeby D. (G)
35. Jarry T. (G)
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
2. Bouchard E.
44. Rielly M. (A)
14. Ekholm M.
11. Domi M.
18. Hyman Z.
34. Matthews A. (C)
97. McDavid C. (C)
23. Knies M.
93. Nugent-Hopkins R.
Line 2
28. Stecher T.
75. Regula A.
22. McCabe J.
25. Nurse D. (A)
89. Robertson N.
22. Savoie M.
91. Tavares J. (A)
29. Draisaitl L. (A)
53. Cowan E.
92. Podkolzin V.
Line 3
3. Thrun H.
49. Emberson T.
2. Benoit S.
24. Stastney S.
88. Nylander W.
13. Janmark M.
55. Roy N.
19. Henrique A.
81. Joshua D.
10. Frederic T.
Line 4
19. Jarnkrok C.
86. Tomasek D.
24. Laughton S.
20. Lazar C.
18. Lorentz S.
88. Mangiapane A.
Substitutes
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
30. Pickard C. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Knoblauch K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:25, 0 - 1, McDavid C. (G), Bouchard E. (A),
03:38, Domi M. (2 min),
16:03, 1 - 1, Cowan E. (G), Laughton S. (A), Lorentz S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:54, 2 - 1, Ekman-Larsson O. (G), Knies M. (A), Domi M. (A2)
05:22, Tavares J. (2 min),
10:29, 2 - 2, McDavid C. (G),
14:02, Podkolzin V. (2 min),
19:29, 2 - 3, Nurse D. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), McDavid C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
01:21, 2 - 4, Podkolzin V. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), Regula A. (A2)
01:55, 2 - 5, Podkolzin V. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), Savoie M. (A2)
09:28, 2 - 6, Hyman Z. (G), Nugent-Hopkins R. (A),
09:28, Hildeby D. ↓, Akhtyamov A. ↑,
19:12, 3 - 6, Lorentz S. (G), McCabe J. (A), Stecher T. (A2)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Edmonton has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mermis D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Woll J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Edmonton: Clattenburg C.
(Eye injury)
Kapanen K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Philp N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Roslovic J.
(Injury)
Walman J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Ekman-Larsson O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 76:53. (average 3.8:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:29. (average 4:3.2).