The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 41.6%
Draw 23.1%
New York Islanders 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
22.5%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.8%
23.8%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montreal Canadiens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
57.1%
42.9%
Montreal Canadiens - New York Islanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Fowler J. (G)
30. Sorokin I. (G)
53. Dobson N.
6. Pulock R. (A)
8. Matheson M. (A)
48. Schaefer M.
20. Slafkovsky J.
13. Barzal M.
14. Suzuki N. (C)
14. Horvat B. (A)
13. Caufield C.
27. Lee A. (C)
Line 2
48. Hutson L.
77. DeAngelo A.
47. Struble J.
3. Pelech A.
93. Demidov I.
51. Heineman E.
91. Kapanen O.
10. Schenn B.
15. Newhook A.
11. Duclair A.
Line 3
45. Carrier A.
24. Mayfield S.
21. Guhle K.
4. Soucy C.
85. Texier A.
92. Holmstrom S.
71. Evans J.
44. Pageau J.
76. Bolduc Z.
81. Palat O.
Line 4
11. Gallagher B. (A)
16. Gatcomb M.
24. Danault P.
53. Cizikas C.
90. Veleno J.
64. Ritchie C.
Substitutes
75. Dobes J. (G)
33. Rittich D. (G)
Coaches
. St. Louis M.
. Roy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
03:31, Cizikas C. (2 min),
04:10, 1 - 0, Slafkovsky J. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Caufield C. (A2)
05:05, Guhle K. (2 min),
06:46, 1 - 1, Heineman E. (G), Lee A. (A),
13:19, 1 - 2, Holmstrom S. (G), Pelech A. (A),
15:13, DeAngelo A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:02, Dobson N. (2 min),
17:49, 2 - 2, Newhook A. (G), Guhle K. (A), Kapanen O. (A2)
18:23, DeAngelo A. (2 min),
19:08, 3 - 2, Caufield C. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Slafkovsky J. (A2)
19:53, Gallagher B. (2 min),
3rd Period (4 - 1)
00:45, 3 - 3, Schaefer M. (G), Barzal M. (A), Horvat B. (A2)
03:17, 4 - 3, Guhle K. (G), Carrier A. (A), Gallagher B. (A2)
08:08, 5 - 3, Slafkovsky J. (G), Caufield C. (A), Suzuki N. (A2)
11:20, 6 - 3, Caufield C. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Guhle K. (A2)
11:20, Sorokin I. ↓, Rittich D. ↑,
14:28, Guhle K. (2 min),
14:28, Barzal M. (2 min),
14:28, Barzal M. (2 min),
14:59, 7 - 3, Caufield C. (G), Suzuki N. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Montreal: Anderson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Dach K.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in NY Islanders: Shabanov M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:55. (average 3.1:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 3.1:2.6).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.83% New York Islanders: 0.59%
Last Results with these Odds
New York Islanders - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 32.23%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.
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Fowler J. (G) 
Sorokin I. (G) 
Dobson N. 
Slafkovsky J. 
Heineman E. 
Kapanen O. 
Texier A. 
Palat O. 
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