Match Info

KHL

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Neftekhimik Arena (Nizhnekamsk) 🌤️ ...


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	4.48	4.28	1.7	Watch
	4	4.2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↓ (4.8)	4.24 ↑ (3.9)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
22.3%

Draw
22.3%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
55.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.9%

24.5%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Neftekhimik will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftekhimik (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lokomotiv (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftekhimik (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lokomotiv (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Ozolin Y. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
65. Fedotov M.	99. Sergeyev A.
11. Khafizullin D.	5. Bereglazov A.
88. Zhafyarov D.	72. Beryozkin M.
18. Dergachyov A. (C)	78. Shalunov M.
71. Belozyorov A. (A)	90. Polunin A.
Line 2
24. Serikov A.	73. Cherepanov N.
55. Pastukhov I.	28. Gernat M.
91. Shafigullin B.	70. Surin Y.
52. Mityakin Y. (A)	10. Ivanov G.
8. Kapustin K.	47. Radulov A. (A)
Line 3
4. Chmykhov A.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
22. Profaca L.	87. Rafikov R. (A)
10. Dea J.	97. Volkov A.
44. Barulin V.	51. Froese B.
50. Yurtaykin D.	9. Nikolayev I.
Line 4
19. Sokolov S.	49. Ulyev M.
34. Kudashov A.	27. Kuzin A.
17. Nadvorny M.	13. Nikulin S.
23. Kvartalnov D.	63. Kraskovsky P.
33. Tochilkin G.	91. Alexeyev D.
Substitutes
53. Dolganov F. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
Coaches
. Grishin I.	. Hartley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:31, 0 - 1, Radulov A. (G), Sergeyev A. (A),
03:01, 0 - 2, Surin Y. (G), Ivanov G. (A),
07:57, Radulov A. (2 min),
08:20, 1 - 2, Belozyorov A. (G), Dergachyov A. (A), Fedotov M. (A2)
09:16, Ulyev M. (2 min),
17:20, Nadvorny M. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:23, Tochilkin G. (2 min),
03:28, 1 - 3, Shalunov M. (G), Beryozkin M. (A), Radulov A. (A2)
07:44, Nikulin S. (2 min),
09:42, 2 - 3, Dea J. (G), Yurtaykin D. (A), Barulin V. (A2)
10:59, 3 - 3, Mityakin Y. (G), Kapustin K. (A), Shafigullin B. (A2)
10:59, Melnichuk A. ↓, Isayev D. ↑,
11:12, 3 - 4, Radulov A. (G), Surin Y. (A), Ivanov G. (A2)
11:12, Ozolin Y. ↓, Dolganov F. ↑,
15:13, Alexeyev D. (2 min),
19:28, Sergeyev A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:42, Surin Y. (2 min),
13:36, 4 - 4, Yurtaykin D. (G), Barulin V. (A), Mityakin Y. (A2)
16:08, Tochilkin G. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:41, (2 min),
01:33, 5 - 4, Zhafyarov D. (G), Belozyorov A. (A), Fedotov M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 2.

Neftekhimik is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokomotiv has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Neftekhimik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotiv is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 41:57. (average 2.1:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.8:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 55.58%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
KHL
11.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Dinamo Minsk	4:3 ✺
09.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:4 ✺
07.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Severstal Cherepovets	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ak Bars Kazan	3:5 ✺
25.08.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
12.09.25	Shanghai Dragons - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:1 ✺
09.09.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	4:1 ✺
05.09.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
31.08.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 OT ✺
24.08.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.08.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	5:2
KHL
14.03.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties
14.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:0
23.02.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 OT
16.01.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.08.23	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:2
KHL
04.12.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:4

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