Match Info

NHL

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Prudential Center (Newark, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, Hulu
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	New Jersey Devils		Toronto Maple Leafs

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.7	Watch
	2.35	4.05	2.7
	2.31	4.19	2.64
	2.3	4.15	2.65	Watch
	2.2	3.8	2.5
	2.33	4.2	2.63
	2.3	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.51)	4.02 ↓ (4.22)	2.59 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Jersey Devils
40.7%

Draw
23.2%

Toronto Maple Leafs
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

23%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

22.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Jersey Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

New Jersey Devils - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. New Jersey will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toronto Maple Leafs will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Allen J. (G)	41. Stolarz A. (G)
22. Pesce B.	25. Carlo B.
43. Hughes L.	44. Rielly M. (A)
91. Mercer D.	88. Nylander W.
13. Hischier N. (C)	34. Matthews A. (C)
28. Meier T.	63. Maccelli M.
Line 2
7. Hamilton D.	22. McCabe J.
71. Siegenthaler J.	2. Benoit S.
16. Brown C.	11. Domi M.
86. Hughes J. (A)	91. Tavares J. (A)
81. Gritsyuk A.	23. Knies M.
Line 3
17. Nemec S.	51. Myers P.
5. Dillon B.	28. Stecher T.
29. Hameenaho L.	53. Cowan E.
12. Glass C.	55. Roy N.
63. Bratt J.	89. Robertson N.
Line 4
42. Tsyplakov M.	19. Jarnkrok C.
72. Bjugstad N.	18. Lorentz S.
47. Cotter P.	81. Joshua D.
Substitutes
25. Markstrom J. (G)	60. Woll J. (G)
Coaches
. Keefe S.	. Berube C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:26, 0 - 1, Maccelli M. (G), Joshua D. (A), Benoit S. (A2)
07:55, 1 - 1, Meier T. (G), Hischier N. (A), Mercer D. (A2)
16:16, Glass C. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:21, Kovacevic J. (2 min),
03:21, 1 - 2, Nylander W. (G), Cowan E. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
03:50, Dillon B. (2 min),
06:06, 2 - 2, Gritsyuk A. (G), Bratt J. (A), Hischier N. (A2)
09:11, Carlo B. (2 min),
11:36, Myers P. (2 min),
18:40, Joshua D. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
13:50, 2 - 3, Knies M. (G), Tavares J. (A),
17:39, 3 - 3, Brown C. (G), Gritsyuk A. (A), Hughes L. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Cotter P. (Penalty Shot),
1, Nylander W. (Penalty Shot),
2, Bratt J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Matthews A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Jersey won 1.

Recent performances by New Jersey have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Toronto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

New Jersey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in New Jersey: MacEwen Z. (Knee Injury) Noesen S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Jersey won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 54:83. (average 2.7:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, New Jersey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:41. (average 2:4.1).

Outrights of NHL for now

New Jersey Devils: 2.93% Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.45%

Last Results with these Odds

New Jersey Devils - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 38.66%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 38.35%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Jersey Devils
NHL
03.03.26	New Jersey Devils - Florida Panthers	5:1 ✺
28.02.26	St. Louis Blues - New Jersey Devils	1:3 ✺
26.02.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - New Jersey Devils	4:1 ✺
25.02.26	New Jersey Devils - Buffalo Sabres	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	New Jersey Devils - New York Islanders	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL
- Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL
02.03.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers	2:3 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators	2:5 ✺
26.02.26	Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs	5:1 ✺
25.02.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:2 ✺
03.02.26	Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
30.12.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - New Jersey Devils	4:0
21.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - New Jersey Devils	2:5
16.01.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - New Jersey Devils	4:3 OT
10.12.24	New Jersey Devils - Toronto Maple Leafs	1:2 OT
10.10.24	New Jersey Devils - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:4
11.04.24	Toronto Maple Leafs - New Jersey Devils	5:6
09.04.24	New Jersey Devils - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:5

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