The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 42.6%
Draw 22.7%
Philadelphia Flyers 34.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.6%
23%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
23.2%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Philadelphia Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
54.5%
18.2%
Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Toronto (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Stolarz A. (G)
80. Vladar D. (G)
25. Carlo B.
55. Ristolainen R.
44. Rielly M. (A)
6. Sanheim T. (A)
88. Nylander W.
11. Konecny T. (A)
34. Matthews A. (C)
22. Dvorak C.
74. McMann B.
46. Zegras T.
Line 2
22. McCabe J.
9. Drysdale J.
2. Benoit S.
8. York C.
11. Domi M.
10. Brink B.
91. Tavares J. (A)
27. Cates N.
23. Knies M.
39. Michkov M.
Line 3
51. Myers P.
36. Andrae E.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
24. Seeler N.
81. Joshua D.
74. Tippett O.
55. Roy N.
14. Couturier S. (C)
63. Maccelli M.
52. Barkey D.
Line 4
53. Cowan E.
19. Hathaway G.
24. Laughton S.
91. Grundstrom C.
18. Lorentz S.
29. Grebyonkin N.
Substitutes
60. Woll J. (G)
33. Ersson S. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Tocchet R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:36, Cowan E. (2 min),
12:01, Roy N. (2 min),
13:00, (2 min),
15:22, 1 - 0, Joshua D. (G), Maccelli M. (A),
16:47, Carlo B. (2 min),
18:38, 1 - 1, Dvorak C. (G), Cates N. (A), Barkey D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:40, Ristolainen R. (2 min),
14:42, 1 - 2, Cates N. (G), Brink B. (A),
15:37, Barkey D. (2 min),
17:30, 2 - 2, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A), Knies M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Nylander W. (Penalty Shot),
1, Michkov M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Matthews A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Zegras T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Domi M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Abols R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Foerster T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 86:53. (average 4.3:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:23. (average 4.8:2.6).
Outrights of NHL for now
Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.22% Philadelphia Flyers: 0.61%
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.61%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Philadelphia Flyers - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.39%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Stolarz A. (G) 
Vladar D. (G) 
Ristolainen R. 
Rielly M. (A) 
Nylander W. 
Michkov M. 
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