Match Info

NHL

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: UBS Arena (Elmont, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	New York Islanders		Colorado Avalanche

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.25	1.87	Watch
	3.25	4.57	1.9
	3.39	4.34	1.9
	3.42	4.41	1.88	Watch
	3.4	4.5	1.91
	3.42	4.43	1.89
	3.6	4.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)	4.41 ↑ (4.37)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Islanders
27.9%

Draw
21.5%

Colorado Avalanche
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

21.6%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

21.9%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

New York Islanders - Colorado Avalanche Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Colorado will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Colorado (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Colorado (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 1 - 25%). Colorado (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Sorokin I. (G)	39. Blackwood M. (G)
6. Pulock R. (A)	8. Makar C. (A)
48. Schaefer M.	7. Toews D.
49. Shabanov M.	88. Necas M.
14. Horvat B. (A)	29. MacKinnon N. (A)
51. Heineman E.	62. Lehkonen A.
Line 2
77. DeAngelo A.	84. Burns B.
3. Pelech A.	42. Manson J.
29. Drouin J.	20. Colton R.
13. Barzal M.	11. Nelson B.
27. Lee A. (C)	92. Landeskog G. (C)
Line 3
24. Mayfield S.	70. Malinski S.
38. Mitchell T.	49. Girard S.
11. Duclair A.	95. Olofsson V.
64. Ritchie C.	18. Drury J.
10. Holmstrom S.	13. Nichushkin V.
Line 4
7. Tsyplakov M.	94. Kiviranta J.
53. Cizikas C.	93. Bardakov Z.
32. Maclean K.	17. Kelly P.
Substitutes
33. Rittich D. (G)	50. Miner T. (G)
Coaches
. Roy P.	. Bednar J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
05:56, 1 - 0, Maclean K. (G), Pulock R. (A), Gatcomb M. (A2)
05:56, (2 min),
12:35, Necas M. (2 min),
18:20, 2 - 0, Lee A. (G), Barzal M. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 2)
01:16, Lehkonen A. (2 min),
01:47, Barzal M. (2 min),
06:58, 3 - 0, Horvat B. (G), Schaefer M. (A), Pulock R. (A2)
07:59, 4 - 0, Pelech A. (G), Barzal M. (A), Lee A. (A2)
08:39, 4 - 1, Nichushkin V. (G), Malinski S. (A), Nelson B. (A2)
10:04, 4 - 2, Necas M. (G), Olofsson V. (A), Burns B. (A2)
18:12, Makar C. (2 min),
18:46, 5 - 2, Barzal M. (G), Shabanov M. (A), Horvat B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:27, 5 - 3, Lehkonen A. (G), Makar C. (A), Necas M. (A2)
08:11, Schaefer M. (2 min),
16:42, Mayfield S. (2 min),
18:45, 6 - 3, Cizikas C. (G),
20:00, Manson J. (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 2.

NY Islanders has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colorado is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, NY Islanders has had a series of home games.

Colorado might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in NY Islanders: Bear E. (Injury) Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Pageau J. (Upper-Body Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Colorado: Brindley G. (Lower-Body Injury) O'Connor L. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Colorado: Wedgewood S. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 67:60. (average 3.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:29. (average 4.5:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.29%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Islanders
NHL
02.12.25	New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	1:4 ✺
28.11.25	New York Islanders - Philadelphia Flyers	3:4 penalties ✺
26.11.25	New York Islanders - Boston Bruins	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	New York Islanders - Seattle Kraken	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLW
- Colorado Avalanche
NHL
02.12.25	Colorado Avalanche - Vancouver Canucks	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Colorado Avalanche - Montreal Canadiens	7:2 ✺
28.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Colorado Avalanche	3:2 penalties ✺
26.11.25	Colorado Avalanche - San Jose Sharks	6:0 ✺
23.11.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Colorado Avalanche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
16.11.25	Colorado Avalanche - New York Islanders	4:1
28.01.25	New York Islanders - Colorado Avalanche	5:2
14.10.24	Colorado Avalanche - New York Islanders	2:6
02.01.24	Colorado Avalanche - New York Islanders	5:4 OT
24.10.23	New York Islanders - Colorado Avalanche	4:7
19.12.22	Colorado Avalanche - New York Islanders	1:0 penalties
29.10.22	New York Islanders - Colorado Avalanche	5:4

New York Islanders - Colorado Avalanche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide