Match Info

NHL

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: UBS Arena (Elmont, NY) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	15:00	Disney+
Chile	15:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	19:00	Viaplay
Finland	20:00	Viaplay
Germany	19:00	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Iceland	18:00	Viaplay
Mexico	12:00	Sky Sport
Norway	19:00	Viaplay
Slovakia	19:00	Voyo
Spain	19:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	19:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	18:00	DAZN
Uruguay	15:00	Disney+
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+
International	18:00	NHL.tv


	New York Islanders		Washington Capitals

	1	X	2
	2.8	4	2.2	Watch
	2.69	4.3	2.23
	2.72	4.22	2.25
	2.44	4.18	2.44	Watch
	2.69	4.52	2.28
	2.7	4.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.49)	4.25 ↓ (4.4)	2.27 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Islanders
35.6%

Draw
22.4%

Washington Capitals
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

22.1%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

21.9%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

New York Islanders - Washington Capitals Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Washington will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Washington (2.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Washington Capitals will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Washington (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Sorokin I. (G)	48. Thompson L. (G)
6. Pulock R.	74. Carlson J. (A)
48. Schaefer M.	42. Fehervary M.
49. Shabanov M.	72. Beauvillier A.
14. Horvat B. (A)	17. Strome D.
51. Heineman E.	8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 2
77. DeAngelo A.	3. Roy M.
3. Pelech A.	6. Chychrun J.
29. Drouin J.	43. Wilson T. (A)
13. Barzal M.	34. Sourdif J.
27. Lee A. (C)	21. Protas A.
Line 3
24. Mayfield S.	57. Van Riemsdyk T.
38. Mitchell T.	38. Sandin R.
11. Duclair A.	9. Leonard R.
64. Ritchie C.	24. McMichael C.
10. Holmstrom S.	22. Duhaime B.
Line 4
7. Tsyplakov M.	53. Frank E.
53. Cizikas C.	29. Lapierre H.
32. Maclean K.	15. Milano S.
Substitutes
33. Rittich D. (G)	79. Lindgren C. (G)
Coaches
. Roy P.	. Carbery S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:25, Schaefer M. (2 min),
07:37, 0 - 1, Wilson T. (G), Ovechkin A. (A), Leonard R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:22, Wilson T. (2 min),
04:02, Chychrun J. (2 min),
13:58, 0 - 2, Wilson T. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:55, Mayfield S. (2 min),
12:24, Beauvillier A. (2 min),
13:43, 1 - 2, Horvat B. (G), Lee A. (A), Pulock R. (A2)
18:49, 1 - 3, Protas A. (G), Wilson T. (A), Roy M. (A2)
19:29, 1 - 4, Ovechkin A. (G), Beauvillier A. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 2.

NY Islanders has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Washington is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in NY Islanders: Bear E. (Injury) Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Pageau J. (Upper-Body Injury) Palmieri K. (Lower-Body Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Washington: Dowd N. (Upper-Body Injury) Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 48:53. (average 2.4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 2.3:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

New York Islanders - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Islanders
NHL
28.11.25	New York Islanders - Philadelphia Flyers	3:4 penalties ✺
26.11.25	New York Islanders - Boston Bruins	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	New York Islanders - Seattle Kraken	1:0 penalties ✺
22.11.25	New York Islanders - St. Louis Blues	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Detroit Red Wings - New York Islanders	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW
- Washington Capitals
NHL
28.11.25	Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:2 ✺
26.11.25	Washington Capitals - Winnipeg Jets	4:3 ✺
24.11.25	Washington Capitals - Columbus Blue Jackets	5:1 ✺
22.11.25	Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:5 ✺
20.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals	4:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
31.10.25	Washington Capitals - New York Islanders	1:3
11.10.25	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	2:4
15.04.25	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	1:3
06.04.25	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	4:1
29.11.24	Washington Capitals - New York Islanders	5:4 OT
29.12.23	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	5:1
20.12.23	Washington Capitals - New York Islanders	3:2 OT

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