Match Info

NHL

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: UBS Arena (Elmont, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Dajto, Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	New York Islanders		Montreal Canadiens

	1	X	2
	2.2	4.1	2.75	Watch
	2.38	4.05	2.6
	2.35	4.2	2.65
	2.36	4.28	2.52	Watch
	2.3	4	2.4
	2.53	4.23	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.4)	4.14 ↓ (4.3)	2.56 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Islanders
40.2%

Draw
22.8%

Montreal Canadiens
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

22%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

23.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

New York Islanders - Montreal Canadiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Sorokin I. (G)	32. Fowler J. (G)
6. Pulock R.	64. Reinbacher D.
48. Schaefer M.	8. Matheson M.
92. Holmstrom S.	20. Slafkovsky J.
14. Horvat B.	14. Suzuki N.
27. Lee A.	13. Caufield C.
Line 2
77. DeAngelo A.	48. Hutson L.
3. Pelech A.	47. Struble J.
64. Ritchie C.	93. Demidov I.
13. Barzal M.	91. Kapanen O.
10. Schenn B.	85. Texier A.
Line 3
24. Mayfield S.	72. Xhekaj A.
4. Soucy C.	42. Engstrom A.
51. Heineman E.	77. Dach K.
44. Pageau J.	24. Danault P.
11. Duclair A.	15. Newhook A.
Line 4
16. Gatcomb M.	17. Anderson J.
53. Cizikas C.	71. Evans J.
32. Maclean K.	90. Veleno J.
Substitutes
33. Rittich D. (G)	75. Dobes J. (G)
Coaches
. DeBoer P.	. St. Louis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
04:07, Anderson J. (2 min),
13:01, Heineman E. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
03:10, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
03:10, Schenn B. (2 min),
15:56, 0 - 1, Suzuki N. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
15:56, Schaefer M. (2 min),
16:24, 0 - 2, Demidov I. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
16:51, 0 - 3, Newhook A. (G), Bolduc Z. (A), Xhekaj A. (A2)
18:44, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:45, 1 - 3, Cizikas C. (G), Mayfield S. (A), Pulock R. (A2)
20', 1 - 4, Bolduc Z. (G), Dach K. (A), Hutson L. (A2)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

Montreal is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.

Recent form of NY Islanders has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Montreal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Shabanov M. (Upper-Body Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Montreal: Carrier A. (Upper-Body Injury) Laine P. (Abdominal strain)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 57:66. (average 2.9:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 2.9:3.1).

Outrights of NHL for now

Montreal Canadiens: 3.83% New York Islanders: 0.59%

Last Results with these Odds

New York Islanders - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.41%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.6%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Islanders
NHL
11.04.26	New York Islanders - Ottawa Senators	0:3 ✺
09.04.26	New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs	5:3 ✺
04.04.26	Carolina Hurricanes - New York Islanders	4:3 ✺
03.04.26	New York Islanders - Philadelphia Flyers	1:4 ✺
31.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - New York Islanders	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Montreal Canadiens
NHL
11.04.26	Montreal Canadiens - Columbus Blue Jackets	2:5 ✺
09.04.26	Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Montreal Canadiens - Florida Panthers	4:3 penalties ✺
05.04.26	Montreal Canadiens - New Jersey Devils	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	New Jersey Devils - Montreal Canadiens	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
21.03.26	Montreal Canadiens - New York Islanders	7:3
26.02.26	Montreal Canadiens - New York Islanders	3:4 OT
20.03.25	New York Islanders - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 OT
03.12.24	Montreal Canadiens - New York Islanders	2:1 OT
19.10.24	New York Islanders - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 penalties
11.04.24	New York Islanders - Montreal Canadiens	3:2 OT
25.01.24	Montreal Canadiens - New York Islanders	4:3

New York Islanders - Montreal Canadiens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide