Match Info
MestisDate: 21 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Kattokeskus Areena (Nokia)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Nokian Pyry |
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TuTo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.31 |
4.15 |
2.45 |
 Watch |
 |
2.52 |
3.95 |
2.19 |
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 |
2.35 |
4.22 |
2.45 |
Watch |
 |
2.3 |
3.9 |
2.38 |
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 |
2.27 |
4.25 |
2.46 |
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 |
2.5 |
4.25 |
2.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.58) |
4.12 ↓
(4.16) |
2.35 ↑
(2.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nokian Pyry
38.6% | Draw
22.3% | TuTo
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nokian Pyry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)TuTo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nokian Pyry that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TuTo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nokian Pyry will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nokian Pyry will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
30.  Tamminen K. (G)
| 37. Vierikko E. (G)
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43. Virtala J.
| 48. Vuorela J. (C)
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28. Bilgili S. (A)
| 6. Tukiainen J.
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8. Peltola S.
| 18.  Samitis K.
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25. Hakanen S.
| 11. Valila E. (A)
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27. Ahvenlampi M.
| 19. Korhonen J.
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| Line 2 |
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9. Hietaniemi V.
| 63. Reini R. (A)
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32. Valtonen T.
| 44. Vuori T.
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74. Kangasniemi E.
| 54. Tervo E.
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38. Himmanen N.
| 34. Hameenaho V.
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92. Nyppeli J.
| 14. Lindholm V.
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| Line 3 |
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26. Lehikoinen A.
| 5. Karppinen I.
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4. Ylitalo V. (C)
| 65. Nummelin R.
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18. Kalliosalo J.
| 21. Virta S.
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12. Valimaki V. (A)
| 72. Huumo V.
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34. Mantymaki T.
| 23.  Trakht D.
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| Line 4 |
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15. Hallfors K.
| 7. Vare S.
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23. Shikera J.
| 9. Rantanen N.
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44. Salmi L.
| 45. Eloranta E.
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11. Kivimaki V.
| 51. Rannikko O.
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| Substitutes |
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35.  Nauseda F. (G)
| 30. Selin L. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 08:26, 1 - 0, Bilgili S. (G), Himmanen N. (A), Nyppeli J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:28, 1 - 1, Trakht D. (G), Nummelin R. (A), Karppinen I. (A2)
- 11:47, 1 - 2, Samitis K. (G), Valila E. (A), Virta S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 03:47, 2 - 2, Himmanen N. (G), Nyppeli J. (A), Mantymaki T. (A2)
- 16:52, 2 - 3, Korhonen J. (G), Vuori T. (A), Valila E. (A2)
- 19:36, 2 - 4, Hameenaho V. (G), Tervo E. (A),
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Pyry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.We predict that Pyry will win today's game, with odds of 2.52.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pyry won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 3.6:4.4).Including home matches between the teams, Pyry won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 4.5:4.5).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 30.01.26 | TuTo - Nokian Pyry | 0:3 | | 28.12.25 | Nokian Pyry - TuTo | 3:4 penalties | | 27.12.25 | TuTo - Nokian Pyry | 7:4 | | 31.10.25 | TuTo - Nokian Pyry | 6:2 | | 11.10.25 | Nokian Pyry - TuTo | 6:5 penalties |
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