The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nokian Pyry 36.8%
Draw 22.5%
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
21.8%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
22.3%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nokian Pyry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nokian Pyry's performance.
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nokian Pyry that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nokian Pyry - Joensuun Kiekko Pojat Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Nauseda F. (G)
30. Ahopelto J. (G)
43. Virtala J.
3. Liiri N.
28. Bilgili S. (A)
4. Inhala J.
24. Jarventie E.
13. Smith J.
27. Ahvenlampi M.
97. Janhonen J.
8. Peltola S.
19. Brygger J. (A)
Line 2
33. Piiparinen J.
86. Sevanen R. (C)
32. Valtonen T.
18. Wehmas J.
74. Kangasniemi E.
11. Taskula J.
25. Hakanen S.
20. Kokkola T. (A)
34. Mantymaki T.
17. Virtanen A.
Line 3
9. Hietaniemi V.
33. Kurbaka V.
26. Lehikoinen A. (A)
21. Laakso E.
18. Kalliosalo J.
10. Kusy D.
38. Himmanen N.
6. Hartikainen S.
92. Nyppeli J.
80. Vallius S.
Line 4
4. Ylitalo V. (C)
67. Maenpaa K.
12. Valimaki V.
95. Matikainen K.
44. Salmi L.
28. Suvanto N.
11. Kivimaki V.
56. Haikonen A.
Substitutes
31. Makinen V. (G)
73. Kaskisuo K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
04:13, 1 - 0, Nyppeli J. (G), Kangasniemi E. (A), Jarventie E. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:41, 2 - 0, Kivimaki V. (G), Virtala J. (A), Bilgili S. (A2)
10:49, 2 - 1, Taskula J. (G), Kokkola T. (A), Laakso E. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
07:40, 3 - 1, Ahvenlampi M. (G), Ylitalo V. (A), Peltola S. (A2)
11:04, 4 - 1, Hakanen S. (G), Peltola S. (A), Bilgili S. (A2)
15:23, 4 - 2, Haikonen A. (G), Liiri N. (A), Inhala J. (A2)
16:56, 5 - 2, Kalliosalo J. (G), Nyppeli J. (A),
Preview
Recent performances by Pyry have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
JoKP has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Pyry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
JoKP could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pyry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 2.3:4.3).
Including home match between the teams, Pyry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Pyry
9
3
0
1
5
26:31
10
7
Kiekko-Pojat
9
2
1
1
5
24:34
9
Last Results with these Odds
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.67%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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Nauseda F. (G) 
Ahopelto J. (G) 
Smith J. 
Kurbaka V. 
Kusy D. 
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