Match Info

Mestis

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Kattokeskus Areena (Nokia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Nokian Pyry		Jokerit

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.6	1.5
	4.8	4.85	1.51	Watch
	4.02	4.34	1.49
	4.5	5.01	1.54	Watch
	4.4	4.4	1.5
	3.98	5.3	1.54	Watch
	4.75	4.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (5.01)	4.75 ↓ (4.81)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nokian Pyry
20.6%

Draw
19.1%

Jokerit
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

19.3%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

20.2%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nokian Pyry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nokian Pyry - Jokerit Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Pyry will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Jokerit will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Jokerit (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jokerit (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Nauseda F. (G)	30. Vehvilainen V. (G)
43. Virtala J.	73. Tuhkanen O.
28. Bilgili S. (A)	52. Tuomola R.
7. Nykanen J.	40. Suni O.
27. Ahvenlampi M.	22. Forslund A.
8. Peltola S.	74. Henriksson J.
Line 2
33. Piiparinen J.	12. Tumanovs M.
32. Valtonen T.	47. Forsblom S. (C)
24. Jarventie E.	25. Leskinen V.
25. Hakanen S.	92. Mustonen A. (A)
34. Mantymaki T.	26. Kangasniemi O.
Line 3
9. Hietaniemi V.	2. Rantakari O.
26. Lehikoinen A. (A)	53. Elorinne A. (A)
18. Kalliosalo J.	77. Virtanen J.
38. Himmanen N.	19. Nalli M.
92. Nyppeli J.	80. Vainikainen V.
Line 4
4. Ylitalo V. (C)	7. Korkka O.
74. Kangasniemi E.	20. Lahnaviik R.
44. Salmi L.	16. Henritius T.
11. Kivimaki V.	29. Kallio B.
Substitutes
31. Makinen V. (G)	37. Heikkeri S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:58, 1 - 0, Salmi L. (G), Kivimaki V. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:32, 1 - 1, Leskinen V. (G), Tuomola R. (A), Suni O. (A2)
07:05, 2 - 1, Virtala J. (G), Bilgili S. (A), Salmi L. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:41, 2 - 2, Rantakari O. (G), Henritius T. (A), Lahnaviik R. (A2)
17:17, 3 - 2, Himmanen N. (G), Virtala J. (A),

Preview

Jokerit is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Recent performances by Pyry have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jokerit is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pyry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pyry has had a series of away games.

In this match, Jokerit is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pyry won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 2.6:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pyry won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Pyry	9	3	0	1	5	26:31	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nokian Pyry
Finnish Mestis
31.01.26	Nokian Pyry - Hermes Kokkola	3:4 ✺
30.01.26	TuTo - Nokian Pyry	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	RoKi - Nokian Pyry	5:1 ✺
23.01.26	Hermes Kokkola - Nokian Pyry	5:0 ✺
20.01.26	Jokerit - Nokian Pyry	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWLLW
- Jokerit hockey
Finnish Mestis
04.02.26	Jokerit - KeuPa	8:2 ✺
31.01.26	IPK - Jokerit	3:4 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Hermes Kokkola - Jokerit	4:2 ✺
28.01.26	Jokerit - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	TuTo - Jokerit	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
20.01.26	Jokerit - Nokian Pyry	3:4
16.12.25	Jokerit - Nokian Pyry	4:1
05.12.25	Nokian Pyry - Jokerit	2:3
25.10.25	Nokian Pyry - Jokerit	3:2 OT
19.09.25	Jokerit - Nokian Pyry	6:3

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