Match Info

OHL

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: North Bay Memorial Gardens (North Bay, ON)


	North Bay Battalion		Sarnia Sting

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.51	3.67
	1.63	4.74	3.83
	1.53	4.6	4.2
	1.57	4.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 (1.6)	4.59 ↑ (4.45)	3.93 ↑ (3.81)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Bay Battalion
57%

Draw
19.8%

Sarnia Sting
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

20.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

19.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Bay Battalion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. LIsson J. (G)	32. Quinlan P. (G)
29. Amidovski L. (A)	6. Aucoin C.
11. Carey R.	33. Aucoin K.
18. Dubrovtsev Y.	16. Barr J.
4. Enright A.	61. Bax J.
5. Greer K.	40. Beamish L.
6. Harper B.	23. Brown R. (A)
3. Kapageridis J.	84. Challenger T.
8. Karmanov A.	17. Di Iorio A.
19. Laird N. (A)	81. Edwards B.
2. Manzo A.	13. Fischer L. (C)
24. Moses S.	71. Gaughan C.
22. Pereira J.	77. Hurt H. (A)
12. Pitre K.	93. Lammens B.
21. Procyszyn E. (C)	55. Manza M.
25. Ride B. (A)	12. Pickell B.
16. Vaughan P.	7. Reese J.
14. Warren C.	14. Van Volsen J.
28. Wellenreiter N.	11. Walos E.
	5. Young M. (A)
Substitutes
34. McIvor M. (G)	31. Larocque C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:30, 1 - 0, Wellenreiter N. (G), Carey R. (A), Harper B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:10, 1 - 1, Beamish L. (G), Brown R. (A),
12:49, 2 - 1, Laird N. (G), Pitre K. (A), Amidovski L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 3.

North Bay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarnia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

North Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, North Bay has had a series of away games.

In this match, North Bay is the team to beat.

We predict that North Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 80:89. (average 4:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, North Bay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:40. (average 4.3:4.4).

Last Results with these Odds

North Bay Battalion - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 56.2%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Bay Battalion
OHL
30.11.25	Ottawa 67s - North Bay Battalion	6:3 ✺
28.11.25	Kingston Frontenacs - North Bay Battalion	1:4 ✺
27.11.25	Peterborough Petes - North Bay Battalion	1:3 ✺
21.11.25	Oshawa Generals - North Bay Battalion	4:0 ✺
20.11.25	North Bay Battalion - London Knights	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWWLW
- Sarnia Sting
OHL
30.11.25	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	3:2 penalties ✺
28.11.25	Sarnia Sting - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	2:6 ✺
22.11.25	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	4:2 ✺
21.11.25	Brantford Bulldogs - Sarnia Sting	7:2 ✺
16.11.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
09.11.25	Sarnia Sting - North Bay Battalion	6:5 OT
05.09.25	Sarnia Sting - North Bay Battalion	2:7
23.02.25	Sarnia Sting - North Bay Battalion	1:5
17.10.24	North Bay Battalion - Sarnia Sting	1:3
29.02.24	North Bay Battalion - Sarnia Sting	6:2
25.02.24	Sarnia Sting - North Bay Battalion	6:5
26.02.23	Sarnia Sting - North Bay Battalion	8:2

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