Match Info

OHL

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Progressive Auto Sales Arena (Sarnia, ON)


	Sarnia Sting		Flint Firebirds

	1	X	2
	4.21	5.61	1.53
	4.22	5.42	1.5	Watch
	4.5	4.75	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (4.13)	5.26 ↑ (4.94)	1.51 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sarnia Sting
21.4%

Draw
17.5%

Flint Firebirds
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

18.6%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

19.8%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flint Firebirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Osipenko K. (G)	55. Courville M. (G)
6. Aucoin C.	19. Allen D.
33. Aucoin K.	22. Anderson D.
40. Beamish L.	76. Aspinall N. (C)
13. Capecci K.	86. Battaglia J.
84. Challenger T.	13. Colosimo J.
17. Di Iorio A. (C)	65. Fellinger R.
81. Edwards B. (A)	14. Graziano L.
71. Gaughan C.	11. He K.
10. Hall C.	10. Lombardi J. (A)
9. Jaworski S.	4. Morgan B.
93. Lammens B.	68. Murata C.
55. Manza M.	7. Paul J.
12. Pickell B. (A)	95. Pazii I.
7. Reese J.	98. Podrekar U. (A)
19. Solomon H.	77. Smith B.
14. Van Volsen J.	81. Tessier X.
11. Walos E.	9. Thibodeau C.
5. Young M. (A)	8. Uljanskis D.
Substitutes
32. Quinlan P. (G)	1. Vaccari M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:47, 0 - 1, Fellinger R. (G), He K. (A), Podrekar U. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:46, 0 - 2, Aspinall N. (G), He K. (A), Graziano L. (A2)
05:20, 0 - 3, Pazii I. (G),
15:00, 1 - 3, Jaworski S. (G), Reese J. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

Flint is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 2.

Sarnia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Flint has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Flint has had a series of home games.

In this match, Flint is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 74:78. (average 3.7:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarnia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:37. (average 4.4:4.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Sarnia Sting - the odds 4.13 are the expected chance of winning is 22.3%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarnia Sting
OHL
04.03.26	Sarnia Sting - Kitchener Rangers	3:6 ✺
01.03.26	Sarnia Sting - Ottawa 67s	0:5 ✺
27.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Barrie Colts	1:2 OT ✺
21.02.26	Saginaw Spirit - Sarnia Sting	4:7 ✺
20.02.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Sarnia Sting	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWL
- Flint Firebirds
OHL
04.03.26	Flint Firebirds - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	3:4 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Flint Firebirds - Peterborough Petes	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Ottawa 67s	4:3 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Sudbury Wolves	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
04.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	3:6
31.01.26	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	6:3
07.01.26	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	7:4
13.12.25	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	2:3 OT
30.11.25	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	3:2 penalties
04.10.25	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	2:4
28.09.25	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	7:4

Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide