Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Notre Dame Fighting Irish		Penn State Nittany Lions

	1	X	2
	5.35	5	1.4
	5	4.8	1.4
	5.14	5.15	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↓ (5.27)	4.98 ↑ (4.95)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
17.5%

Draw
18.1%

Penn State Nittany Lions
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

18.3%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

20%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notre Dame Fighting Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Penn State Nittany Lions have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notre Dame Fighting Irish than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penn State Nittany Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
Overtime (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notre Dame won 0.

Notre Dame has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Penn State has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Notre Dame may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Penn State is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Notre Dame won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 43:47. (average 3.1:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Notre Dame won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 4:3.2).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Penn State Nittany Lions: 2.15% Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 0.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notre Dame Fighting Irish hockey
NCAA Hockey
27.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:4 penalties ✺
20.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8:2 ✺
19.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4:2 ✺
14.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Minnesota Golden Gophers	3:2 ✺
13.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Minnesota Golden Gophers	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWL
- Penn State Nittany Lions hockey
NCAA Hockey
27.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:4 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	5:4 OT ✺
20.02.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	11:4 ✺
14.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	6:3 ✺
13.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
27.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:4 penalties
17.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6:3
16.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4:1
15.02.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3:2
14.02.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5:3
03.01.25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	4:3 penalties
20.01.24	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	6:3

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