The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olomouc 26.7%
Draw 21.9%
Oceláři Třinec 51.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
21.2%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
22.2%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Oceláři Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olomouc than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Olomouc - Oceláři Třinec Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
29. Cichon O. (G)
2. Mazanec M. (G)
37. Stella E.
55. Adamek M.
44. Gewiese P.
52. Marincin M. (A)
88. Navratil J.
94. Nestrasil A.
18. Berglund C.
87. Kovarcik M.
62. Plasek K. Jr.
34. Kovarcik O.
Line 2
4. Rutar A.
76. Galvas J.
61. Cosgrove T.
64. Koch P.
32. Orsava J. (A)
9. Kubiesa M. (A)
47. Macuh R.
79. Hudacek L.
81. Matys O.
56. Dano M.
Line 3
48. Cerny T. (A)
6. Musil D.
39. Petrovicky R.
24. Pyrochta F.
34. Vitouch M.
27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)
86. Stohanzl M.
40. Roman M.
97. Hercik D.
96. Vozenilek D.
Line 4
23. Ondrusek J. (C)
66. Aubrecht D.
78. Spodniak M.
43. Kurovsky D.
24. Andel L.
78. Chlan P.
25. Kos J.
71. Lazovsky M.
Substitutes
2. Broz J. (G)
90. Kacetl O. (G)
21. Vitouch D.
92. Svancara R.
Coaches
. Fiala P.
. Zabka B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
13:44, 0 - 1, Ruzicka Mart. (G), Vozenilek D. (A), Kovarcik M. (A2)
14:40, Spodniak M. (2 min),
17:04, 0 - 2, Marincin M. (G),
18:54, Musil D. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 4)
00:59, 0 - 3, Musil D. (G), Kovarcik O. (A),
06:00, 0 - 4, Roman M. (G), Ruzicka Mart. (A),
07:20, 0 - 5, Pyrochta F. (G), Kovarcik O. (A),
08:03, Hercik D. (2 min),
10:16, 0 - 6, Adamek M. (G), Lazovsky M. (A), Chlan P. (A2)
10:17, Cichon O. ↓, Broz J. ↑,
10:35, Gewiese P. (2 min),
14:59, Pyrochta F. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
00:53, Rutar A. (2 min),
04:01, 0 - 7, Kurovsky D. (G), Lazovsky M. (A), Adamek M. (A2)
06:41, Adamek M. (2 min),
09:26, Vitouch D. (2 min),
10:59, 0 - 8, Kovarcik O. (G), Ruzicka Mart. (A), Galvas J. (A2)
13:12, 0 - 9, Hudacek L. (G), Kubiesa M. (A), Koch P. (A2)
16:36, Kovarcik M. (2 min),
18:46, Macuh R. (2 min),
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 14th in the Extraliga (Relegation) and 1st in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olomouc won 2.
Olomouc is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Třinec is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Olomouc may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Třinec has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Třinec carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Třinec: Flynn O.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Třinec: Hrehorcak P.
(Leg Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Třinec in today's match, at odds of 1.71.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Olomouc has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:65 (averaging 2.1:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Olomouc against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 24:24 goals (averaging 2.4:2.4 per game).
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Trinec: 16.59% Olomouc: 0.81%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Trinec
9
9
0
0
0
45:18
27
14
Olomouc
9
1
1
0
7
17:33
5
Last Results with these Odds
Olomouc - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 26.98%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Czech-republic
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Cichon O. (G) 
Stella E. 
Marincin M. (A) 
Cosgrove T. 
Macuh R. 
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