Match Info

AHL

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Arena (Ontario, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Ontario Reign		Abbotsford Canucks

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.33	3.6	Watch
	1.83	4.15	3.4
	1.76	4.6	3.52
	1.74	4.67	3.55	Watch
	1.75	4.2	3.4
	1.72	4.3	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.86)	4.38 ↑ (3.9)	3.52 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ontario Reign
52.8%

Draw
21%

Abbotsford Canucks
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

23.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

24.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Abbotsford Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ontario Reign that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abbotsford Canucks than the current prediction. (+3%)

Ontario Reign - Abbotsford Canucks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Portillo E. (G)	30. Patera J. (G)
91. Brown L.	3. Arntsen J.
68. Brzustewicz H.	13. Bains A. (A)
8. Chromiak M.	29. Berard B.
37. Doty J. (A)	51. Birnie B.
55. Dvorak J.	8. Brimmer A.
21. Gawdin G. (A)	55. Brisebois G.
36. Gorman B.	34. Clayton C.
81. Guttman C.	17. Kambeitz C.
27. Hicketts J. (C)	9. Klimovich D.
47. Hughes J.	59. Kudryavtsev K.
46. Isogai K.	39. Mueller T.
86. Jamsen A.	45. Mynio S.
26. Lee A.	68. Patterson R.
45. Millar J.	52. Schimek B.
71. Pinelli F.	48. Schuldt J. (A)
12. Rego T.	2. Thompson J.
10. Salin O.	93. Walker C.
13. Ziemmer K.	21. Wouters C. (C)
Substitutes
50. Slukynsky H. (G)	85. Young T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
02:42, 0 - 1, Berard B. (G), Walker C. (A),
13:29, 0 - 2, Schimek B. (G), Mueller T. (A), Thompson J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Ontario is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 3.

Ontario is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Abbotsford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ontario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ontario has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ontario is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 66:57. (average 3.3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 3.8:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Ontario Reign - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 48.88%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Abbotsford Canucks - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 27.8%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ontario Reign
AHL
17.04.26	Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	2:3 OT ✺
10.04.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	4:1 ✺
07.04.26	Ontario Reign - Colorado Eagles	2:1 OT ✺
04.04.26	Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW
- Abbotsford Canucks
AHL
11.04.26	Calgary Wranglers - Abbotsford Canucks	0:4 ✺
10.04.26	Calgary Wranglers - Abbotsford Canucks	4:5 ✺
04.04.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Coachella Valley Firebirds	2:3 OT ✺
03.04.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Coachella Valley Firebirds	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Abbotsford Canucks - San Diego Gulls	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
18.03.26	Ontario Reign - Abbotsford Canucks	3:1
18.02.26	Ontario Reign - Abbotsford Canucks	4:2
16.02.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	5:3
14.02.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	2:1
28.01.26	Ontario Reign - Abbotsford Canucks	5:2
26.10.25	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	2:5
24.10.25	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	2:5

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