Match Info

NHL

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Ottawa Senators		Dallas Stars

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.75	Watch
	2.3	4.44	2.55
	2.29	4.3	2.65
	2.57	4.15	2.33	Watch
	2.34	4.47	2.64
	2.55	4.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.57)	4.26 ↑ (4.15)	2.54 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
40%

Draw
22.4%

Dallas Stars
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

22.7%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

22%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Dallas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

Ottawa Senators - Dallas Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Dallas will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Ottawa (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ottawa (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ottawa (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dallas Stars will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Dallas (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Ullmark L. (G)	29. Oettinger J. (G)
2. Zub A.	4. Heiskanen M. (A)
85. Sanderson J. (A)	23. Lindell E. (A)
19. Batherson D.	96. Rantanen M.
18. Stutzle T.	53. Johnston W.
57. Perron D.	18. Steel S.
Line 2
10. Spence J.	46. Lyubushkin I.
72. Chabot T. (A)	55. Harley T.
20. Zetterlund F.	91. Seguin T. (A)
24. Cozens D.	24. Hintz R.
71. Greig R.	21. Robertson J.
Line 3
3. Jensen N.	28. Petrovic A.
43. Kleven T.	6. Bichsel L.
28. Giroux C. (A)	22. Bourque M.
12. Pinto S.	49. Hryckowian J.
22. Amadio M.	10. Back O.
Line 4
42. Hodgson H.	15. Blackwell C.
89. Eller L.	12. Faksa R.
21. Cousins N.	73. Erne A.
Substitutes
1. Merilainen L. (G)	1. DeSmith C. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Gulutzan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:49, 1 - 0, Batherson D. (G), Sanderson J. (A),
08:53, 2 - 0, Jensen N. (G), Amadio M. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
10:55, Batherson D. (2 min),
15:12, Bichsel L. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:31, Bichsel L. (2 min),
16:22, 2 - 1, Rantanen M. (G), Robertson J. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
06:43, Greig R. (2 min),
08:00, 2 - 2, Robertson J. (G), Rantanen M. (A), Heiskanen M. (A2)
12:10, Greig R. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:03, 2 - 3, Hintz R. (G), Robertson J. (A), Heiskanen M. (A2)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Dallas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Ottawa: Tkachuk B. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Dallas: Benn Ja. (Upper-Body Injury) Duchene M. (Upper-Body Injury) Lundkvist N. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 69:58. (average 3.5:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 3.2:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.73%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Dallas Stars - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.52%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
09.11.25	Ottawa Senators - Utah Mammoth	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators	2:3 OT ✺
06.11.25	Boston Bruins - Ottawa Senators	3:2 OT ✺
01.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators	4:3 OT ✺
30.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLW
- Dallas Stars
NHL
09.11.25	Dallas Stars - Seattle Kraken	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Nashville Predators - Dallas Stars	4:5 ✺
06.11.25	Dallas Stars - Anaheim Ducks	5:7 ✺
04.11.25	Dallas Stars - Edmonton Oilers	4:3 penalties ✺
01.11.25	Florida Panthers - Dallas Stars	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
12.01.25	Ottawa Senators - Dallas Stars	3:2
02.01.25	Dallas Stars - Ottawa Senators	4:2
22.02.24	Ottawa Senators - Dallas Stars	4:1
15.12.23	Dallas Stars - Ottawa Senators	5:4
08.12.22	Dallas Stars - Ottawa Senators	4:3 OT
24.10.22	Ottawa Senators - Dallas Stars	4:2
29.10.21	Dallas Stars - Ottawa Senators	1:4

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