Match Info

NHL

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ottawa Senators		Calgary Flames

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.2	3.4	Watch
	1.92	4.44	3.26
	2.00	4.30	3.06	Watch
	1.96	4.42	3.22
	1.98	4.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2)	4.33 ↑ (4.3)	3.2 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
48.5%

Draw
21.9%

Calgary Flames
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

22%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

20.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	32%	8%

Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Calgary will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Ottawa (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ottawa Senators will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 8 - 80%). Calgary (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Ullmark L. (G)	1. Cooley D. (G)
2. Zub A.	4. Andersson R. (A)
85. Sanderson J. (A)	7. Bahl K.
19. Batherson D.	16. Frost M.
18. Stutzle T.	91. Kadri N.
21. Cousins N.	10. Huberdeau J.
Line 2
3. Jensen N.	52. Weegar M.
72. Chabot T. (A)	44. Hanley J.
57. Perron D.	20. Coleman B. (A)
24. Cozens D.	11. Backlund M. (C)
71. Greig R.	29. Honzek S.
Line 3
10. Spence J.	94. Pachal B.
43. Kleven T.	24. Bean J.
28. Giroux C. (A)	27. Coronato M.
12. Pinto S.	17. Sharangovich Y.
22. Amadio M.	86. Farabee J.
Line 4
20. Zetterlund F.	43. Klapka A.
89. Eller L.	23. Kirkland J.
23. MacDermid K.	70. Lomberg R.
Substitutes
1. Merilainen L. (G)	32. Wolf D. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Huska R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
04:23, Greig R. (2 min),
05:51, 0 - 1, Sharangovich Y. (G), Farabee J. (A), Weegar M. (A2)
07:37, 1 - 1, Eller L. (G), Pinto S. (A), Chabot T. (A2)
09:33, Bahl K. (2 min),
14:04, Pinto S. (2 min),
15:53, 1 - 2, Coronato M. (G), Frost M. (A), Andersson R. (A2)
19:22, Klapka A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
02:34, Jensen N. (2 min),
03:50, Frost M. (2 min),
12:44, Cousins N. (2 min),
12:44, Coleman B. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:36, 2 - 2, Zub A. (G), Eller L. (A), Batherson D. (A2)
08:16, 2 - 3, Kadri N. (G), Huberdeau J. (A),
17:11, 3 - 3, Sanderson J. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Spence J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
02:30, Andersson R. (2 min),
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Batherson D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kirkland J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Stutzle T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Frost M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 3.

Ottawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Calgary has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Calgary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ottawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ottawa: Tkachuk B. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Calgary: Pospisil M. (Injury)

We predict that Ottawa will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 61:63. (average 3.1:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 3.6:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.2%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Calgary Flames - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.85%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
28.10.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Ottawa Senators	7:3 ✺
27.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Boston Bruins	7:2 ✺
25.10.25	Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators	1:7 ✺
23.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Philadelphia Flyers	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWL
- Calgary Flames
NHL
28.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames	4:3 ✺
26.10.25	Calgary Flames - New York Rangers	5:1 ✺
24.10.25	Winnipeg Jets - Calgary Flames	5:3 ✺
22.10.25	Calgary Flames - Montreal Canadiens	1:2 OT ✺
20.10.25	Calgary Flames - Winnipeg Jets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
19.12.24	Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators	2:3 OT
25.11.24	Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames	4:3
09.01.24	Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators	6:3
11.11.23	Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames	4:1
12.03.23	Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators	5:1
13.02.23	Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames	4:3 OT
13.01.22	Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators	1:4

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