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Ottawa Senators vs Florida Panthers Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

NHL

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Ottawa Senators		Florida Panthers

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.5	6.25	Watch
	1.5	5	5.5
	1.47	5.3	5.49
	1.49	5.16	5.28	Watch
	1.44	4.6	5
	1.48	5.34	5.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.7)	5.15 ↑ (4.39)	5.49 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
64.5%

Draw
18.3%

Florida Panthers
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

21.5%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

21.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ottawa Senators's performance.

Florida Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Florida Panthers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ottawa Senators that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florida Panthers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	18.7%	6.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Florida will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ottawa Senators will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Ullmark L. (G)	72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
2. Zub A.	20. Benning M.
85. Sanderson J.	42. Forsling G. (A)
28. Giroux C. (A)	11. Samoskevich M.
18. Stutzle T. (A)	9. Bennett S. (A)
19. Batherson D.	23. Verhaeghe C.
Line 2
10. Spence J.	3. Jansson L.
72. Chabot T.	22. Bjornfot T.
71. Greig R.	10. Greer A.J.
24. Cozens D.	27. Luostarinen E.
7. Tkachuk B. (C)	70. Boqvist J.
Line 3
33. Matinpalo N.	6. Sebrango D.
60. Thomson L.	. Alscher M.
22. Amadio M.	18. Gregor N.
12. Pinto S.	92. Nosek T.
21. Cousins N.	79. Schwindt C.
Line 4
20. Zetterlund F.	24. Hinostroza V.
89. Eller L.	71. Kunin L.
37. Foegele W.	29. Reinhardt C.
Substitutes
47. Reimer J. (G)	40. Tarasov D. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Maurice P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
05:53, Forsling G. (2 min),
06:49, 1 - 0, Batherson D. (G), Sanderson J. (A), Tkachuk B. (A2)
17:00, 2 - 0, Zetterlund F. (G), Eller L. (A), Spence J. (A2)
19:18, Tkachuk B. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
03:02, 3 - 0, Zub A. (G), Sanderson J. (A), Cozens D. (A2)
14:17, 3 - 1, Boqvist J. (G), Greer A.J. (A), Luostarinen E. (A2)
16:43, 4 - 1, Giroux C. (G),
17:02, 5 - 1, Zetterlund F. (G),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Ottawa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ottawa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Ottawa: Chabot T. (Arm Injury) Gilbert D. (Upper-Body Injury) Jensen N. (Knee Injury) Kleven T. (Upper-Body Injury) Yakemchuk C. (Concussion)

There will not play in Florida: Balinskis U. (Lower-Body Injury) Barkov A. (Knee Injury) Ekblad A. (Finger Injury) Gadjovich J. (Upper-Body Injury) Kulikov D. (Finger Injury) Lundell A. (Ribs Injury) Marchand B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mikkola N. (Knee Injury) Reinhart S. (Foot Injury) Rodrigues E. (Finger Injury) Tkachuk M. (Personal Reasons)

We predict that Ottawa will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 45:78. (average 2.3:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 2.3:3.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
07.04.26	Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning	6:2 ✺
05.04.26	Ottawa Senators - Carolina Hurricanes	6:3 ✺
04.04.26	Ottawa Senators - Minnesota Wild	1:4 ✺
02.04.26	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	4:1 ✺
31.03.26	Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWL
- Florida Panthers
NHL
07.04.26	Montreal Canadiens - Florida Panthers	4:3 penalties ✺
05.04.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Florida Panthers	5:2 ✺
04.04.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Florida Panthers	9:4 ✺
02.04.26	Florida Panthers - Boston Bruins	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
31.03.26	Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators	6:3
10.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Florida Panthers	2:3
11.10.25	Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators	6:2
05.04.25	Ottawa Senators - Florida Panthers	3:0
08.02.25	Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators	5:1
10.10.24	Ottawa Senators - Florida Panthers	3:1
09.04.24	Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators	2:0

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Ottawa Senators - Florida Panthers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide