Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Pardubice		Lukko

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.5	3.3	Watch
	1.91	4.25	3.1
	1.82	4.24	3.72	Watch
	1.75	4.58	3.94
	1.76	4.58	3.94
	1.7	4.5	3.75
	1.81	4.2	3.62	Watch
	1.74	4.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.88)	4.39 ↑ (4.33)	3.65 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pardubice
52.9%

Draw
21.4%

Lukko
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

21.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

20.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Pardubice - Lukko Predictions

Users Predictions: Pardubice will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Pardubice is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lukko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pardubice could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lukko have a series of home games.

Pardubice will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pardubice to win the game is with odds 1.87.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSOB Pojistovna Pardubice
Czech Extraliga
03.12.23	Oceláři Třinec - Pardubice	1:5 ✺
30.11.23	Pardubice - Vítkovice Steel	2:1 penalties ✺
28.11.23	Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice	1:4 ✺
26.11.23	Pardubice - Mountfield Hradec Králové	5:2 ✺
24.11.23	Kometa Brno - Pardubice	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL
- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
02.12.23	Lukko - TPS	4:1 ✺
01.12.23	Ässät - Lukko	2:1 ✺
29.11.23	Lukko - Vaasan Sport	3:4 OT ✺
24.11.23	Lukko - SaiPa	1:2 penalties ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
22.11.23	Lukko - TWK Innsbruck	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLW

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