Match Info

Liiga

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kivikylan Areena (Rauma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Lukko		SaiPa

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.5	3.4
	1.87	4	3.4
	1.87	4.25	3.53
	1.84	4.21	3.7	Watch
	1.8	3.9	3.25
	1.87	4.33	3.36	Watch
	1.9	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.93)	4.17 ↑ (3.89)	3.45 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko
50.4%

Draw
22.4%

SaiPa
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

24.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

23.4%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Lukko - SaiPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lukko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Raanta A. (G)	31. Grigals G. (G)
9. Stenqvist J.	50. Salminen S. (A)
38. Almari N.	26. Kivihalme T.
16. Beaucage A.	51. Kalapudas A.
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)	57. Hokkanen O.
24. Krannila J.	25. Kuusla E.
Line 2
86. Gelinas E. (C)	14. Kramer B.
5. Peters A.	55. Trejbal O.
90. Hamalainen L.	41. Fortier M.
88. Morand A.	82. Nikkanen H.
18. Jandric S.	10. Kivenmaki O.
Line 3
34. Viitasalo N.	6. Airola S.
56. Olsson A.	7. Niinisaari S. (C)
27. Westerholm Po.	75. Siikanen P.
17. Westerholm Pa.	12. Bau S.
25. Saarela A.	70. Naukkarinen J.
Line 4
15. Tukiainen J.	17. Svensk V.
47. Haapanen T.	81. Klintrup E.
14. Intonen A.	21. Appelgren N. (A)
48. Ikonen H. (A)	18. Heikkila J.
Substitutes
30. Salonen D. (G)	35. Karhunen T. (G)
Coaches
. Lamsa T.	. Helminen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
15:28, 1 - 0, Peters A. (G), Gelinas E. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
15:56, Kramer B. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
09:10, 2 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Westerholm Pa. (A),
14:36, 2 - 1, Appelgren N. (G), Kramer B. (A), Trejbal O. (A2)
17:33, Siikanen P. (2 min),
18:25, 3 - 1, Ruohomaa M. (G), Saarela A. (A), Westerholm Po. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
00:57, 3 - 2, Kramer B. (G), Kalapudas A. (A),
07:40, 3 - 3, Klintrup E. (G), Nikkanen H. (A),
08:04, Peters A. (2 min),
13:20, 3 - 4, Kivihalme T. (G), Kalapudas A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.

Lukko is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

SaiPa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lukko could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 51:42. (average 2.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 2.4:1.8).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Saipa: 4.07%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Lukko	11	6	1	0	4	29:23	20

Last Results with these Odds

Lukko - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.95%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
05.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Pelicans - Lukko	1:5 ✺
26.12.25	Lukko - Vaasan Sport	2:1 OT ✺
20.12.25	Lukko - HPK	4:2 ✺
19.12.25	SaiPa - Lukko	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL
- SaiPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
05.01.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	3:4 ✺
03.01.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	2:3 penalties ✺
27.12.25	KalPa - SaiPa	4:2 ✺
26.12.25	SaiPa - KalPa	3:5 ✺
20.12.25	JYP - SaiPa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
19.12.25	SaiPa - Lukko	5:2
15.11.25	SaiPa - Lukko	4:5
18.10.25	Lukko - SaiPa	4:2
21.04.25	SaiPa - Lukko	2:1 OT
18.04.25	Lukko - SaiPa	3:2 OT
16.04.25	SaiPa - Lukko	5:2
14.04.25	Lukko - SaiPa	1:2 OT

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