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Current Win Probability
Pardubice 65.1%
Draw 18.3%
Verva Litvínov 16.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.7%
19.4%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
21.1%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Verva Litvínov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verva Litvínov than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Pardubice - Verva Litvínov Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Subban M. (G)
30. Cajan P. (G)
79. Tourigny M.
81. Svozil S.
33. Kostalek J.
21. Balaz O.
93. Stransky M.
25. Kase D.
92. Nosek T. (A)
13. Kampf D. (A)
19. Cervenka R. (C)
73. Kase O. (A)
Line 2
41. Ceresnak P. (A)
72. Jaks J.
15. Ludvig J.
27. Czuczman K.
89. Mandat J.
10. Koblasa P.
98. Tomasek D.
91. Sukel M. (C)
96. Smejkal J.
34. Pistek T.
Line 3
43. Gazda D.
18. Tittl F.
27. Scotka J.
3. Polasek A.
11. Kondelik J.
8. Samal V.
71. Sobotka V.
62. Gut M.
29. Kelemen M.
74. Mastalirsky M.
Line 4
77. Vapenik T.
36. Beran V.
4. Miklis O.
20. Urban T.
61. Kaut M.
87. Jicha J.
44. Poulicek P.
64. Jurcik O.
94. Lauko J.
Substitutes
35. Will R. (G)
75. Havelka M.
42. Tomek M. (G)
Coaches
. Pesan F.
. Reichel R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
06:28, Samal V. (2 min),
07:59, 1 - 0, Kostalek J. (G), Cervenka R. (A), Stransky M. (A2)
14:44, 2 - 0, Mandat J. (G), Tomasek D. (A), Gazda D. (A2)
16:58, Mandat J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:37, 2 - 1, Jaks J. (G), Koblasa P. (A), Pistek T. (A2)
08:58, Tourigny M. (2 min),
17:58, Stransky M. (2 min),
19:48, 2 - 2, Sukel M. (G), Pistek T. (A), Svozil S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:25, 2 - 3, Kase D. (G), Kase O. (A),
04:03, Stransky M. (2 min),
04:51, Cajan P. (2 min),
14:28, Balaz O. (2 min),
15:49, Polasek A. (2 min),
15:49, Svozil S. (2 min),
15:49, Smejkal J. (2 min),
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 11th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 5.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Litvínov has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Pardubice for this game.
Confirmed absences for Pardubice: Cervenka R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Sedlak L.
(Broken shinbone).
Confirmed absences for Litvínov: Zygmunt P.
(Collarbone injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Pardubice: Kaut M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kostalek J.
(Head Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Litvínov: Husinecky V.
(Health problems)
Moravcik M.
(Abdominal strain)
Pistek T.
(Leg Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Pardubice in today's match, at odds of 1.42.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pardubice has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:36 (averaging 2.9:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pardubice against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 26:14 goals (averaging 2.6:1.4 per game).
Czech Republic
Slovakia
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Subban M. (G) 
Cajan P. (G) 
Ceresnak P. (A) 
Jaks J. 
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