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Pelicans vs KalPa Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, January 16, 2026)

Match Info

Liiga

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Wemasto Areena (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Pelicans		KalPa

	1	X	2
	2.55	4.2	2.3
	2.63	3.77	2.46	Watch
	2.64	3.63	2.44	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.3
	2.56	3.98	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.62)	3.84 ↑ (3.61)	2.38 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelicans
36.3%

Draw
24.3%

KalPa
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

25.9%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pelicans will win (votes: 1 - 25%). KalPa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KalPa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - KalPa (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. KalPa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Bartosak P. (G)	40. Lekkas S. (G)
44. Kousa M. (A)	6. Westerlund F. (A)
61. Jurgens C. (C)	97. Kanak L.
27. Lind O.	70. Hartikainen T. (A)
29. Vaananen M.	28. Rissanen J. (C)
74. Teutari E.	9. Maenpaa J.
Line 2
4. Johannesen J.	55. Lappalainen L.
87. Nieminen D.	18. Gallet H.
37. Dudas A.	16. Okany A.
7. Stapley B.	71. Curry P.
10. Karvinen R.	20. Klemetti A.
Line 3
47. Jordan M. (A)	52. Tornberg A.
55. Falk H.	7. Mononen V.
88. Vanderbeck A.	22. Borchardt C.
95. Batna O.	12. Saarelainen J.
82. Kettunen A.	42. Kapanen K.
Line 4
83. Luhanka E.	89. Ketola J.
93. Nieminen K.	86. Kombe K.
96. Kumpula J.	14. Lantta J.
91. Vilen E.	41. Kononen J.
Substitutes
1. Emond Z. (G)	47. Boyko T. (G)
Coaches
. Kapanen S.	. Tervonen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:54, 0 - 1, Curry P. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Lappalainen L. (A2)
07:21, Vanderbeck A. (2 min),
07:21, (2 min),
10:54, 0 - 2, Tornberg A. (G), Kombe K. (A), Maenpaa J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:38, Kononen J. (2 min),
08:30, 1 - 2, Batna O. (G), Kousa M. (A), Dudas A. (A2)
14:41, Kousa M. (2 min),
15:05, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:17, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
10:39, Kousa M. (2 min),
10:39, Kapanen K. (2 min),
12:06, Falk H. (2 min),
18:15, 1 - 3, Rissanen J. (G),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.

Pelicans is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

KalPa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that KalPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 46:53. (average 2.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.6:1.5).

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Last Results with these Odds

KalPa - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.45%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelicans Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
13.01.26	Lukko - Pelicans	4:3 OT ✺
10.01.26	Pelicans - HPK	1:4 ✺
03.01.26	KalPa - Pelicans	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	5:3 ✺
27.12.25	Pelicans - Lukko	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- KalPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
14.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa	1:2 OT ✺
10.01.26	JYP - KalPa	2:5 ✺
09.01.26	KalPa - Vaasan Sport	4:3 ✺
07.01.26	HIFK - KalPa	5:1 ✺
03.01.26	KalPa - Pelicans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
03.01.26	KalPa - Pelicans	2:1
03.10.25	Pelicans - KalPa	0:1 penalties
01.03.25	KalPa - Pelicans	6:3
29.01.25	Pelicans - KalPa	3:4 OT
07.12.24	Pelicans - KalPa	2:1 OT
26.11.24	KalPa - Pelicans	3:2 OT
07.02.24	Pelicans - KalPa	3:0