Match Info

Liiga

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Wemasto Areena (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Pelicans		KalPa

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.25	2.75
	2.25	3.90	2.65
	2.12	4.05	2.95	Watch
	2.27	3.81	2.71
	2.26	3.97	2.71	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.65
	2.24	4.1	2.68	Watch
	2.21	3.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.18)	3.95 ↓ (4.05)	2.72 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelicans
42.3%

Draw
23.5%

KalPa
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

23.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

24%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Pelicans aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Pelicans - KalPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pelicans will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Olkinuora J. (G)	40. Lekkas S. (G)
4. Johannesen J.	57. Lyytinen J.
47. Jordan M. (C)	18. Gallet H.
37. Dudas A.	54. Piitulainen J. (A)
7. Stapley B.	28. Rissanen J. (C)
9. Fortier G.	9. Maenpaa J.
Line 2
65. Nutivaara M. (A)	97. Kanak L.
71. Hakkila H.	8. Ruotsalainen V.
90. Hawel L.	22. Borchardt C.
95. Batna O.	12. Saarelainen J.
10. Karvinen R.	42. Kapanen K.
Line 3
55. Falk H.	55. Lappalainen L. (A)
15. Lerby C.	4. Jokinen M.
12. Hamalainen S.	70. Hartikainen T.
87. Myklukha O.	91. Vilen E.
96. Kumpula J.	20. Klemetti A.
Line 4
83. Luhanka E.	89. Ketola J.
74. Teutari E.	3. Karlsson A.
23. Forsberg C. (A)	94. Korkiakoski T.
82. Kettunen A.	85. Somppi O.
	86. Kombe K.
Substitutes
33. Lattu J. (G)	35. Korhonen R. (G)
29. Vaananen M.
Coaches
. Kapanen S.	. Tervonen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
03:31, Hawel L. (2 min),
07:02, Lyytinen J. (2 min),
12:28, Forsberg C. (2 min),
13:26, Lekkas S. (2 min),
17:30, Luhanka E. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:44, 1 - 0, Kumpula J. (G), Myklukha O. (A), Hawel L. (A2)
19:10, Vilen E. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:00, 2 - 0, Dudas A. (G), Karvinen R. (A), Stapley B. (A2)
02:44, Saarelainen J. (2 min),
09:50, Vilen E. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 44:54. (average 2.2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 2.5:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Pelicans	10	5	0	1	4	24:23	16
13	KalPa	11	4	0	1	6	27:29	13

Last Results with these Odds

Pelicans - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.42%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelicans Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
05.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Pelicans	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Pelicans - Vaasan Sport	6:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.26	Pelicans - KooKoo	7:0 ✺
21.08.26	Pelicans - Kiekko-Espoo	2:4 ✺
19.08.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLL
- KalPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
04.09.26	KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:0 ✺
01.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	KalPa - JYP	5:2 ✺
21.08.26	HIFK - KalPa	1:3 ✺
20.08.26	Ilves - KalPa	1:0 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
10.02.26	KalPa - Pelicans	5:3
16.01.26	Pelicans - KalPa	1:3
03.01.26	KalPa - Pelicans	2:1
03.10.25	Pelicans - KalPa	0:1 penalties
01.03.25	KalPa - Pelicans	6:3
29.01.25	Pelicans - KalPa	3:4 OT
07.12.24	Pelicans - KalPa	2:1 OT

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