Match Info

Liiga

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Vaasa Arena (Vaasa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Vaasan Sport		Pelicans

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.3	1.75
	3.77	4.2	1.82	Watch
	3.66	3.64	1.84
	3.77	3.83	1.86	Watch
	3.5	3.9	1.75
	3.69	4.15	1.82	Watch
	3.75	3.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (3.76)	3.98 ↑ (3.82)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaasan Sport
25.2%

Draw
23.4%

Pelicans
51.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.8%

24.4%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

25.6%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Vaasan Sport - Pelicans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Ortio J. (G)	32. Bartosak P. (G)
5. Claesson L.	47. Jordan M. (A)
7. Hakkila H.	55. Falk H.
22. Hult O.	27. Lind O.
12. Straka A. (A)	29. Vaananen M.
21. Heikkinen I.	20. Hirvonen K.
Line 2
39. Hunt B.	44. Kousa M. (A)
53. Aarnio A.	61. Jurgens C. (C)
3. Bertrand C.	37. Dudas A.
18. Ekman T.	7. Stapley B.
24. Levanen E.	10. Karvinen R.
Line 3
16. Johnsson T. (A)	4. Johannesen J.
52. Hietanen V. (C)	87. Nieminen D.
33. Harma M.	88. Vanderbeck A.
81. Timonen S.	91. Vilen E.
4. Tiihonen M.	72. Carlsson P.
Line 4
77. Valtanen J.	83. Luhanka E.
28. Toivainen W.	74. Teutari E.
91. Immonen V.	95. Batna O.
8. Hult O.	96. Kumpula J.
Substitutes
1. Harkonen M. (G)	1. Emond Z. (G)
Coaches
. Tapio J.	. Kapanen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
14:20, Lind O. (2 min),
18:48, Claesson L. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:30, 0 - 1, Kumpula J. (G), Teutari E. (A), Batna O. (A2)
16:10, Straka A. (2 min),
19:45, Straka A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
07:28, Claesson L. (2 min),
07:54, 0 - 2, Karvinen R. (G), Dudas A. (A), Kousa M. (A2)
10:20, 0 - 3, Dudas A. (G), Falk H. (A), Karvinen R. (A2)
17:33, 1 - 3, Straka A. (G),
18:43, 2 - 3, Hult O. (G), Johnsson T. (A), Levanen E. (A2)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 2.

Vaasa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pelicans has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vaasa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pelicans is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 40:49. (average 2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 2.2:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Pelicans	13	6	0	1	6	29:29	19
13	Vaasan Sport	14	5	1	2	6	26:38	19

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Vaasan Sport: 0.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Vaasan Sport - the odds 3.76 are the expected chance of winning is 24.83%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga
22.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	6:2 ✺
21.01.26	HIFK - Vaasan Sport	4:3 OT ✺
17.01.26	Vaasan Sport - Lukko	6:1 ✺
16.01.26	JYP - Vaasan Sport	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWLL
- Pelicans Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
23.01.26	TPS - Pelicans	3:4 OT ✺
17.01.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Pelicans - KalPa	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Lukko - Pelicans	4:3 OT ✺
10.01.26	Pelicans - HPK	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
11.12.25	Vaasan Sport - Pelicans	0:4
05.12.25	Pelicans - Vaasan Sport	3:0
28.02.25	Pelicans - Vaasan Sport	5:0
28.12.24	Vaasan Sport - Pelicans	3:2 OT
30.11.24	Pelicans - Vaasan Sport	1:3
25.09.24	Vaasan Sport - Pelicans	3:1
16.02.24	Pelicans - Vaasan Sport	3:2 OT

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