The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ässät 39.8%
Draw 25.5%
Pelicans 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
26.8%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
30.3%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ässät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pelicans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Ässät - Pelicans Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Lindberg F. (G)
32. Bartosak P. (G)
37. Maatta R. (A)
44. Kousa M. (A)
25. Boelius L.
61. Jurgens C. (C)
72. Josling S.
37. Dudas A.
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
7. Stapley B.
92. Alasiurua A.
10. Karvinen R.
Line 2
67. Puutio K.
47. Jordan M. (A)
80. Nurmi P.
55. Falk H.
88. Olofsson J.
88. Vanderbeck A.
74. Tiivola P. (A)
29. Vaananen M.
75. Nyman L.
96. Kumpula J.
Line 3
8. Viljanen V.
4. Johannesen J.
3. Anttalainen A.
87. Nieminen D.
16. Noiva N.
74. Teutari E.
19. Juhola P.
23. Forsberg C.
47. Tammela J.
82. Kettunen A.
Line 4
55. Riihinen P.
3. Huzevka S.
63. Kostilainen S.
27. Lind O.
86. Knihti F.
57. Chrons A.
18. Ylitalo O.
20. Hirvonen K.
Substitutes
32. Taponen R. (G)
1. Emond Z. (G)
Coaches
. Pikkarainen J.
. Kapanen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
08:10, 0 - 1, Karvinen R. (Penalty Shot),
19:04, 1 - 1, Tammela J. (G), Juhola P. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 3)
00:09, 1 - 2, Stapley B. (G),
02:51, 1 - 3, Dudas A. (G), Stapley B. (A), Johannesen J. (A2)
04:01, 2 - 3, Juhola P. (G), Boelius L. (A), Maatta R. (A2)
07:24, 3 - 3, Juhola P. (G), Noiva N. (A),
08:12, Stapley B. (2 min),
11:48, 3 - 4, Huzevka S. (G), Kettunen A. (A), Nieminen D. (A2)
13:06, 4 - 4, Tammela J. (G), Juhola P. (A),
18:13, Kousa M. (2 min),
19:30, 5 - 4, Nurmi P. (G), Juhola P. (A), Tammela J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:39, Jurgens C. (2 min),
07:13, 6 - 4, Juhola P. (G), Nurmi P. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
09:10, Vanderbeck A. (2 min),
13:01, 6 - 5, Kumpula J. (G), Nieminen D. (A), Dudas A. (A2)
13:17, Noiva N. (2 min),
15:32, Puutio K. (2 min),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.
In recent matches, Ässät has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pelicans is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 43:47. (average 2.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.7:1.9).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Assat
12
6
1
2
3
30:27
22
12
Pelicans
10
5
0
1
4
24:23
16
Last Results with these Odds
Ässät - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.9%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Pelicans - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.35%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.