Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Pelicans U20		Kärpät U20

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.46	3.14
	1.88	4.2	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2)	4.33 ↑ (4.02)	3.14 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pelicans U20
49.8%

Draw
21.1%

Kärpät U20
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

22.6%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

22.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelicans U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Kärpät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Pelicans U20 - Kärpät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:48, 0 - 1, Jung S. (G), Vierimaa W. (A), Viita F. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
11:43, 0 - 2, Viuhkola N. (G), Tynkila A. (A), Salovaara E. (A2)
16:51, 0 - 3, Salovaara E. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans U20 won 2.

Pelicans U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Kärpät U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Pelicans U20 has had a series of home games.

Recently, Kärpät U20 has had a series of away games.

Pelicans U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Pelicans U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 48:72. (average 2.4:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:36. (average 2.7:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Lukko U20	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Tappara U20	5:1 ✺
12.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Ilves U20	5:4 penalties ✺
06.09.25	KooKoo U20 - Pelicans U20	3:1 ✺
05.09.25	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW
- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.09.25	Jokerit U20 - Kärpät U20	3:5 ✺
13.09.25	Kärpät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 ✺
12.09.25	KalPa U20 - Kärpät U20	3:4 ✺
06.09.25	HIFK U20 - Kärpät U20	5:2 ✺
05.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Kärpät U20	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.12.24	Kärpät U20 - Pelicans U20	1:6
19.10.24	Pelicans U20 - Kärpät U20	0:3
06.10.23	Pelicans U20 - Kärpät U20	4:2
08.09.23	Kärpät U20 - Pelicans U20	8:1
24.02.23	Kärpät U20 - Pelicans U20	6:1
28.10.22	Pelicans U20 - Kärpät U20	1:4
27.03.22	Pelicans U20 - Kärpät U20	2:6

Upcoming Matches