The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarnia Sting 39.1%
Draw 19.2%
Saginaw Spirit 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
18.3%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
20%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarnia Sting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saginaw Spirit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Osipenko K. (G)
63. Shurygin S. (G)
6. Aucoin C.
14. Barabanov E. (A)
33. Aucoin K.
72. Barnes B.
40. Beamish L.
42. Cloutier J.
13. Capecci K.
95. Geldart G.
84. Challenger T.
5. Glavin J. (A)
81. Edwards B. (A)
73. Guo J.
71. Gaughan C.
88. Hanrahan R.
10. Hall C.
13. Harmer C. (A)
26. Hawery L.
4. Harper L.
9. Jaworski S.
9. Jones G.
93. Lammens B.
98. Klepov N.
55. Manza M.
62. Pepoy B.
12. Pickell B. (A)
11. Roscoe D.
7. Reese J.
90. Schmidt S.
19. Solomon H.
27. Stewart B.
14. Van Volsen J.
21. Storch L.
11. Walos E.
17. Velliaris X.
5. Young M. (A)
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
32. Quinlan P. (G)
31. Papineau K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 4)
01:58, 0 - 1, Barabanov E. (G), Zhilkin D. (A), Klepov N. (A2)
04:42, 1 - 1, Challenger T. (G), Edwards B. (A),
06:31, 1 - 2, Harmer C. (G), Klepov N. (A), Zhilkin D. (A2)
07:31, 1 - 3, Barabanov E. (G), Cloutier J. (A), Klepov N. (A2)
09:34, 1 - 4, Zhilkin D. (G), Harper L. (A), Barabanov E. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
05:04, 2 - 4, Young M. (G), Edwards B. (A), Manza M. (A2)
08:37, 2 - 5, Cloutier J. (G), Zhilkin D. (A), Harper L. (A2)
16:34, 2 - 6, Pepoy B. (G), Geldart G. (A), Hanrahan R. (A2)
16:46, 3 - 6, Walos E. (G), Pickell B. (A), Lammens B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
12:25, 3 - 7, Zhilkin D. (G), Guo J. (A), Storch L. (A2)
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 2.
Sarnia has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Saginaw has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sarnia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sarnia has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 55:78. (average 2.8:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sarnia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:39. (average 2.5:3.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Sarnia Sting - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Saginaw Spirit - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.02%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Osipenko K. (G) 
Shurygin S. (G) 
Aucoin C. 
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