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Current Win Probability
Sarnia Sting 42.4%
Draw 21.4%
Saginaw Spirit 36.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.4%
20.6%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
21.8%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Sarnia Sting - Saginaw Spirit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
30. Knowling B. (G)
6. Aucoin C. (A)
72. Barnes B.
33. Aucoin K.
18. Bate D.
18. Campbell D.
42. Cloutier J. (A)
13. Chadwick C.
95. Geldart G.
84. Challenger T.
5. Glavin J. (A)
41. Emerton C.
88. Hanrahan R.
71. Gaughan C.
4. Harper L. (A)
27. Gulbrandsen J.
7. Khotkov G.
26. Hawery L.
12. Leenders H.
53. Holmes P. (A)
24. Martyniuk T.
9. Jaworski S.
2. Meyer K.
24. Katolicky S.
93. Milojevic A.
93. Lammens B.
62. Pepoy B.
55. Manza M.
10. Savin D.
8. Sewell C.
90. Schmidt S.
2. Sgro A.
17. Velliaris X.
14. Van Volsen J. (A)
66. Wassilyn B.
11. Walos E.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
31. Osipenko K. (G)
63. Shurygin S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
11:01, 0 - 1, Pepoy B. (G), Barnes B. (A),
12:18, 0 - 2, Wassilyn B. (G), Khotkov G. (A), Barnes B. (A2)
19:19, 1 - 2, Manza M. (G), Hawery L. (A), Emerton C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 5)
03:42, 1 - 3, Khotkov G. (G), Barnes B. (A), Geldart G. (A2)
06:16, 1 - 4, Zhilkin D. (G), Hanrahan R. (A), Wassilyn B. (A2)
13:05, 1 - 5, Pepoy B. (G), Wassilyn B. (A), Harper L. (A2)
15:02, 2 - 5, Walos E. (G), Emerton C. (A), Hawery L. (A2)
16:35, 2 - 6, Pepoy B. (G), Harper L. (A),
19:14, 2 - 7, Cloutier J. (G), Zhilkin D. (A), Wassilyn B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
00:42, 2 - 8, Milojevic A. (G), Pepoy B. (A), Savin D. (A2)
03:25, 2 - 9, Bate D. (G), Savin D. (A), Martyniuk T. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Saginaw could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Saginaw holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sarnia has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:87 (averaging 2.9:4.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sarnia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 23:45 goals (averaging 2.6:5 per game).
Watch
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Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G) 
Knowling B. (G) 
Barnes B. 
Gulbrandsen J. 
Katolicky S. 
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