The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Flyers 21.7%
Draw 19.9%
Montreal Canadiens 58.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.4%
23.4%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
24.4%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Flyers's form might have worsened.
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montreal Canadiens's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Flyers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montreal Canadiens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
10%
80%
Philadelphia Flyers - Montreal Canadiens Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Montreal will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 55.2% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Ersson S. (G)
75. Dobes J. (G)
55. Ristolainen R.
48. Hutson L.
6. Sanheim T. (A)
47. Struble J.
74. Tippett O.
20. Slafkovsky J.
46. Zegras T.
14. Suzuki N. (C)
71. Foerster T.
13. Caufield C.
Line 2
9. Drysdale J.
21. Guhle K.
8. York C.
64. Reinbacher D.
94. Martone P.
93. Demidov I.
22. Dvorak C.
15. Newhook A.
11. Konecny T. (A)
85. Texier A.
Line 3
36. Andrae E.
72. Xhekaj A.
24. Seeler N.
42. Engstrom A. (A)
39. Michkov M.
77. Dach K.
27. Cates N.
76. Bolduc Z.
52. Barkey D.
91. Kapanen O.
Line 4
41. Glendening L.
11. Gallagher B. (A)
14. Couturier S. (C)
71. Evans J.
19. Hathaway G.
90. Veleno J.
Substitutes
80. Vladar D. (G)
32. Fowler J. (G)
Coaches
. Tocchet R.
. St. Louis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
00:21, Seeler N. (2 min),
08:08, 1 - 0, Martone P. (G), Michkov M. (A), Bonk O. (A2)
14:42, 2 - 0, Bonk O. (G), Michkov M. (A), McDonald H. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
06:50, 2 - 1, Gallagher B. (G), Guhle K. (A), Texier A. (A2)
13:52, 3 - 1, Michkov M. (G),
16:43, Foerster T. (2 min),
19:49, 3 - 2, Evans J. (G), Xhekaj A. (A), Veleno J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:48, McDonald H. (2 min),
10:19, Dach K. (2 min),
10:19, McDonald H. (2 min),
12:00, 4 - 2, Bump A. (G), Martone P. (A),
16:12, Jiricek D. (2 min),
16:12, Texier A. (2 min),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
Philadelphia is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Montreal is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
Philadelphia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Montreal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
Montreal could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Philadelphia: Abols R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Grebyonkin N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Montreal: Carrier A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Dobson N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 58:69. (average 2.9:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 3.3:3.7).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.13% Philadelphia Flyers: 0.61%
Last Results with these Odds
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
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Ersson S. (G) 
Dobes J. (G) 
Ristolainen R. 
Hutson L. 
Sanheim T. (A) 
Slafkovsky J. 
Reinbacher D. 
Demidov I. 
Texier A. 
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