Match Info

NHL

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Action, Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Dajto, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NHL Network
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Pittsburgh Penguins		Minnesota Wild

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.2	2.5	Watch
	2.3	4.24	2.62
	2.28	4.16	2.64	Watch
	2.29	4.47	2.7
	2.4	4.2	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)	4.25 ↓ (4.47)	2.58 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Penguins
40.9%

Draw
22.3%

Minnesota Wild
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

21.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

21.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Minnesota Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Pittsburgh Penguins - Minnesota Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Minnesota will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Period - Pittsburgh (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pittsburgh Penguins will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 4 - 80%). Minnesota (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Silovs A. (G)	32. Gustavsson F. (G)
58. Letang K.	7. Faber B.
5. Shea R.	25. Brodin J.
17. Rust B.	36. Zuccarello M.
87. Crosby S. (C)	22. Yurov D.
19. Dewar C.	97. Kaprizov K. (A)
Line 2
65. Karlsson E.	46. Spurgeon J. (C)
28. Wotherspoon P.	5. Middleton J.
39. Mantha A.	12. Boldy M.
71. Malkin E. (A)	14. Eriksson J.
13. Hayes K.	90. Johansson M.
Line 3
75. Clifton C.	24. Bogosian Z.
27. Graves R.	8. Buium Z.
22. Poulin S.	18. Hinostroza V.
81. Kindel B.	13. Trenin Y.
18. Novak T.	17. Foligno M. (A)
Line 4
43. Heinen D.	19. Pitlick T.
46. Lizotte B.	39. Jones B.
15. Koppanen J. (A)	28. Ohgren L.
Substitutes
1. Murashov S. (G)	30. Wallstedt J. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.	. Hynes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
03:57, 0 - 1, Boldy M. (G), Faber B. (A), Eriksson J. (A2)
05:53, Lizotte B. (2 min),
09:39, 0 - 2, Eriksson J. (G), Buium Z. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
11:42, 0 - 3, Johansson M. (G), Brodin J. (A), Faber B. (A2)
13:44, Trenin Y. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:09, 0 - 4, Kaprizov K. (G), Middleton J. (A), Zuccarello M. (A2)
01:09, Silovs A. ↓, Murashov S. ↑,
10:00, Spurgeon J. (2 min),
17:46, 0 - 5, Boldy M. (G), Kaprizov K. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
11:36, Dewar C. (2 min),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.

Recent performances by Pittsburgh have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Minnesota is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pittsburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Acciari N. (Upper-Body Injury) Brazeau J. (Upper-Body Injury) Hallander F. (Leg Injury) Jarry T. (Lower-Body Injury) Jones C. (Lower-Body Injury) Koivunen V. (Lower-Body Injury) Rakell R. (Hand Injury)

There will not play in Minnesota: Bogosian Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Hartman R. (Lower-Body Injury) Rossi M. (Lower-Body Injury) Sturm N. (Back Injury) Tarasenko V. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 78:57. (average 3.9:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:30. (average 4.3:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 42.15%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Minnesota Wild - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 36.17%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
16.11.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Nashville Predators	4:0 ✺
14.11.25	Nashville Predators - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:1 OT ✺
09.11.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Los Angeles Kings	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	New Jersey Devils - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:1 penalties ✺
06.11.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Washington Capitals	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLW
- Minnesota Wild
NHL
19.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Carolina Hurricanes	4:3 penalties ✺
16.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 OT ✺
15.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Anaheim Ducks	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Minnesota Wild - San Jose Sharks	1:2 OT ✺
09.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Calgary Flames	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
30.10.25	Minnesota Wild - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:4
09.03.25	Minnesota Wild - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:3
29.10.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Minnesota Wild	3:5
09.02.24	Minnesota Wild - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2
18.12.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Minnesota Wild	4:3
06.04.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Minnesota Wild	4:1
17.11.22	Minnesota Wild - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:6

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