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Current Win Probability
New Jersey Devils 38%
Draw 22.4%
Pittsburgh Penguins 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
22.6%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
24.3%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Jersey Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
New Jersey Devils - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Allen J. (G)
74. Skinner S. (G)
7. Hamilton D.
65. Karlsson E.
71. Siegenthaler J.
28. Wotherspoon P.
91. Mercer D.
17. Rust B.
13. Hischier N. (C)
87. Crosby S. (C)
28. Meier T.
59. Chinakhov Y.
Line 2
17. Nemec S.
58. Letang K. (A)
5. Dillon B.
49. Girard S.
16. Brown C.
71. Malkin E. (A)
86. Hughes J. (A)
67. Rakell R.
63. Bratt J.
18. Novak T.
Line 3
8. Kovacevic J.
75. Clifton C.
44. Cholowski D.
5. Shea R.
72. Bjugstad N.
16. Brazeau J.
12. Glass C.
81. Kindel B.
29. Hameenaho L.
39. Mantha A.
Line 4
48. Halonen B.
85. Hayes A.
21. McLaughlin M.
55. Acciari N.
47. Cotter P.
25. Soderblom E.
Substitutes
25. Markstrom J. (G)
37. Silovs A. (G)
Coaches
. Keefe S.
. Muse D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
04:53, 0 - 1, Rust B. (G), Chinakhov Y. (A), Letang K. (A2)
05:55, Mantha A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
09:51, 1 - 1, Cotter P. (G), Hamilton D. (A), Halonen B. (A2)
11:43, 1 - 2, Novak T. (G), Malkin E. (A), Karlsson E. (A2)
11:52, 1 - 3, Chinakhov Y. (G), Shea R. (A), Crosby S. (A2)
15:07, 2 - 3, Hughes J. (G), Siegenthaler J. (A), Brown C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:50, 2 - 4, Malkin E. (G), Crosby S. (A), Chinakhov Y. (A2)
09:02, Nemec S. (2 min),
17', 2 - 5, Karlsson E. (G), Wotherspoon P. (A), Acciari N. (A2)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Jersey won 1.
New Jersey has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pittsburgh is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Pittsburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in New Jersey: Gritsyuk A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
MacEwen Z.
(Knee Injury)
Noesen S.
(Knee Injury)
Pesce B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Pittsburgh: Jones C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lizotte B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Skinner S.
(Eye injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Jersey won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 61:57. (average 3.1:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, New Jersey won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 2.9:2.4).
Outrights of NHL for now
New Jersey Devils: 2.97% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.2%