The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Penguins 32.4%
Draw 22%
Washington Capitals 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
21.7%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
22.3%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Penguins's form might have worsened.
Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Washington Capitals's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Penguins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Washington Capitals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
50%
33.3%
Pittsburgh Penguins - Washington Capitals Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Washington will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
37. Silovs A. (G)
48. Thompson L. (G)
75. Clifton C.
38. Sandin R.
5. Shea R.
42. Fehervary M.
41. Koivunen V.
72. Beauvillier A.
67. Rakell R.
17. Strome D.
59. Chinakhov Y.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
Line 2
27. Graves R.
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
49. Girard S.
6. Chychrun J.
16. Brazeau J.
43. Wilson T. (A)
18. Novak T.
62. Protas I.
39. Mantha A.
21. Protas A.
Line 3
3. St.Ivany J.
3. Roy M. (A)
7. Solovyov I.
44. Hutson C.
15. Koppanen J.
9. Leonard R.
13. Hayes K.
80. Dubois P.
2. McGroarty R.
24. McMichael C.
Line 4
85. Hayes A.
63. Miroshnichenko I.
55. Acciari N.
34. Sourdif J.
25. Soderblom E.
22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
74. Skinner S. (G)
78. Gibson M. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.
. Carbery S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 4)
01:37, 0 - 1, Protas A. (G), Wilson T. (A), Protas I. (A2)
02:05, 1 - 1, Mantha A. (G), Shea R. (A), Novak T. (A2)
06:02, 1 - 2, Leonard R. (G), Dubois P. (A), McMichael C. (A2)
08:08, 1 - 3, Wilson T. (G), Protas I. (A), Protas A. (A2)
11:47, 2 - 3, Acciari N. (G), Soderblom E. (A), Girard S. (A2)
11:58, 2 - 4, Leonard R. (G), Hutson C. (A), Sourdif J. (A2)
14:43, Hayes K. (2 min),
16:50, 3 - 4, Hayes K. (G), Shea R. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:16, Brazeau J. (2 min),
05:56, 3 - 5, Protas I. (G), Hutson C. (A), Strome D. (A2)
16:22, 3 - 6, Ovechkin A. (G), Wilson T. (A),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
Pittsburgh is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.
Pittsburgh is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Washington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Pittsburgh: Jones C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lizotte B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Dewar C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Washington: Lindgren C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 63:66. (average 3.2:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 3.3:4.5).
Outrights of NHL for now
Washington Capitals: 5.61% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.2%
Last Results with these Odds
Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.39%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Washington Capitals - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.9%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
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Silovs A. (G) 
Thompson L. (G) 
Clifton C. 
Sandin R. 
Fehervary M. 
Koivunen V. 
Chinakhov Y. 
Protas I. 
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