Match Info

NHL

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Pittsburgh Penguins		Utah Mammoth

	1	X	2
	2.75	4.2	2.2	Watch
	3.05	3.69	2.2
	2.75	4.27	2.24
	2.74	4.49	2.15	Watch
	2.75	4.33	2.2
	2.76	4.52	2.16
	2.7	4.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.23)	4.25 (4.25)	2.19 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Penguins
34.2%

Draw
22.4%

Utah Mammoth
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

22.2%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

22%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Penguins's form might have worsened.

Utah Mammoth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utah Mammoth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Penguins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utah Mammoth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Pittsburgh Penguins - Utah Mammoth Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Utah will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Utah Mammoth will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Murashov S. (G)	70. Vejmelka K. (G)
58. Letang K. (A)	50. Durzi S.
5. Shea R.	98. Sergachyov M. (A)
17. Rust B. (A)	77. Peterka J.
87. Crosby S. (C)	8. Schmaltz N.
67. Rakell R.	9. Keller C. (C)
Line 2
65. Karlsson E.	6. Marino J.
28. Wotherspoon P.	88. Schmidt N.
16. Brazeau J.	11. Guenther D.
81. Kindel B.	27. Hayton B.
2. McGroarty R.	67. Crouse L. (A)
Line 3
75. Clifton C.	2. Maatta O.
27. Graves R.	28. Cole I.
39. Mantha A.	19. But D.
18. Novak T.	22. McBain J.
41. Koivunen V.	53. Carcone M.
Line 4
55. Acciari N.	56. Yamamoto K.
13. Hayes K.	82. Stenlund K.
19. Dewar C.	38. O'Brien L.
Substitutes
37. Silovs A. (G)	41. Vanecek V. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.	. Tourigny A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:48, 1 - 0, Brazeau J. (G), Kindel B. (A), McGroarty R. (A2)
04:30, Kindel B. (2 min),
09:18, Schmidt N. (2 min),
15:21, 2 - 0, Rust B. (G), Rakell R. (A),
16:33, Cole I. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:40, 3 - 0, Kindel B. (G), Shea R. (A), Letang K. (A2)
09:04, Koivunen V. (2 min),
14:11, Clifton C. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 4)
01:07, 3 - 1, Schmidt N. (G), Schmaltz N. (A), Peterka J. (A2)
01:22, 3 - 2, Carcone M. (G),
05:35, 3 - 3, Durzi S. (G), Yamamoto K. (A), Sergachyov M. (A2)
05:35, (2 min),
07:06, 3 - 4, Carcone M. (G), Hayton B. (A), But D. (A2)
10:52, Rust B. (2 min),
14:06, 4 - 4, Brazeau J. (G), Karlsson E. (A), Kindel B. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:42, 4 - 5, Guenther D. (G), Marino J. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 9).

Pittsburgh has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Utah's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hallander F. (Leg Injury) Jones C. (Lower-Body Injury) Lizotte B. (Upper-Body Injury) Malkin E. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Utah: Cooley L. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerfoot A. (Abdominal strain) Valimaki J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 2:4).

Including home match between the teams, Pittsburgh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6.

Last Results with these Odds

Utah Mammoth - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
13.12.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - San Jose Sharks	5:6 OT ✺
11.12.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens	2:4 ✺
09.12.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Anaheim Ducks	3:4 penalties ✺
07.12.25	Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2 penalties ✺
04.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLLW
- Utah Mammoth
NHL
12.12.25	Utah Mammoth - Seattle Kraken	5:3 ✺
10.12.25	Utah Mammoth - Florida Panthers	3:4 ✺
08.12.25	Utah Mammoth - Los Angeles Kings	2:4 ✺
06.12.25	Calgary Flames - Utah Mammoth	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Vancouver Canucks - Utah Mammoth	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
29.01.25	Utah Mammoth - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:3 OT
23.11.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Utah Mammoth	1:6

Pittsburgh Penguins - Utah Mammoth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide