Match Info

NHL

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	Disney+
Brazil	20:00	Disney+
Chile	20:00	Disney+
Colombia	18:00	Disney+
Denmark	01:00	Viaplay
Germany	01:00	NHL.tv
Mexico	17:00	Disney+
Norway	01:00	Viaplay
Peru	18:00	Disney+
Sweden	01:00	Viaplay
Uruguay	20:00	Disney+
Usa	19:00	ESPN USA, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Venezuela	19:00	Disney+
International	23:00	NHL.tv


	Pittsburgh Penguins		Florida Panthers

	1	X	2
	2.3	4.25	2.45	Watch
	2.45	3.90	2.40
	2.42	4.3	2.48
	2.41	4.35	2.46
	2.4	4.4	2.44	Watch
	2.4	4.3	2.45
	2.45	4.4	2.53
	2.35	4.2	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.85)	4.26 ↑ (4.1)	2.45 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Penguins
39.4%

Draw
22.1%

Florida Panthers
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

23%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

23.5%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Penguins's performance.

Florida Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Florida Panthers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Penguins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Pittsburgh Penguins - Florida Panthers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Florida will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Florida: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Florida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7 - over (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Silovs A. (G)	31. Black C. (G)
65. Karlsson E.	5. Ekblad A. (A)
24. Stastney S.	42. Forsling G.
67. Rakell R.	19. Tkachuk M. (A)
87. Crosby S. (C)	9. Bennett S.
18. Novak T.	8. Tkachuk B.
Line 2
6. Korczak K.	3. Jones S.
72. Carlile D.	77. Mikkola N.
71. Malkin E. (A)	20. Eller L.
22. Lapierre H.	13. Reinhart S. (A)
41. Koivunen V.	23. Verhaeghe C.
Line 3
58. Letang K. (A)	6. Gudas R.
7. Solovyov I.	7. Kulikov D.
59. Chinakhov Y.	95. Vilmanis S.
46. Lizotte B.	15. Lundell A.
10. Kuzmenko A.	27. Luostarinen E.
Line 4
14. Robertson N.	21. Hathaway G.
19. Dewar C.	79. Schwindt C.
25. Soderblom E.	14. Imama B.
Substitutes
1. Murashov S. (G)	40. Schmid A. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.	. Maurice P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:22, Balinskis U. (2 min),
09:03, Hathaway G. (2 min),
15:19, 1 - 0, Robertson N. (G), Dewar C. (A), Letang K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:46, Malkin E. (2 min),
09:59, 2 - 0, Lapierre H. (G), Koivunen V. (A), Malkin E. (A2)
14:05, Hathaway G. (2 min),
16:17, Silovs A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:40, 3 - 0, Malkin E. (G), Lapierre H. (A), Stastney S. (A2)
14:01, Koivunen V. (2 min),
17:34, 4 - 0, Robertson N. (G), Dewar C. (A), Lizotte B. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Pittsburgh (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Florida has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Pittsburgh could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Pittsburgh has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Pittsburgh: Brazeau J. (Lower-Body Injury) Graves R. (Knee Injury) Van Riemsdyk T. (Lower-Body Injury).

Confirmed absences for Florida: Barkov A. (Knee Injury) Gadjovich J. (Upper-Body Injury) Marchand B. (Leg Injury) Markstrom J. (Upper-Body Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Pittsburgh: Girard S. (Injury) Kindel B. (Health problems) Rust B. (Lower-Body Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pittsburgh has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 67:69 (averaging 3.4:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pittsburgh against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 40:36 goals (averaging 4:3.6 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Florida Panthers: 8.29% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.02%

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 33.1%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
19.10.26	Utah Mammoth - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:4 ✺
17.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:2 ✺
16.10.26	Colorado Avalanche - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:2 ✺
13.10.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:3 ✺
10.10.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- Florida Panthers
NHL
21.10.26	Ottawa Senators - Florida Panthers	5:1 ✺
17.10.26	Florida Panthers - Seattle Kraken	8:3 ✺
15.10.26	Florida Panthers - Vancouver Canucks	3:2 AET ✺
13.10.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Florida Panthers	3:7 ✺
12.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Florida Panthers	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
05.04.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Florida Panthers	5:2
04.04.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Florida Panthers	9:4
23.10.25	Florida Panthers - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:5
23.03.25	Florida Panthers - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:3 penalties
03.01.25	Florida Panthers - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2 penalties
03.12.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Florida Panthers	5:4 OT
14.02.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Florida Panthers	2:5

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