Match Info

ECHL

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Monument (Rapid City, SD)


	Rapid City Rush		Wheeling Nailers

	1	X	2
	2.66	4.82	1.99	Watch
	2.7	4.25	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 (2.68)	4.54 ↓ (4.57)	2.01 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapid City Rush
34.2%

Draw
20.2%

Wheeling Nailers
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

20%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

21.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Rapid City Rush have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Wheeling Nailers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid City Rush than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wheeling Nailers than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Murphy C. (G)	40. Pavlenko M. (G)
91. Bennett B.	28. Andrew T.
76. Bernard X.	80. Ansons R.
43. Bowman P.	21. Armstrong C.
21. Buhl C.	42. Breazeale D.
10. Colella M.	32. Budnick T.
82. Davis B.	54. De St. Phalle M.
26. Fyten S.	83. Edwards B.
39. Giroux Z.	36. Graham M.
23. Joyce C.	19. Hernandez R.
44. Mack S.	51. Johnson B.
12. Pauls C.	17. Kuqali A.
74. Pierce I.	6. Laatsch D.
3. Pilon D.	37. Lockhart C.
15. Russell B.	61. McAllister R.
8. Smedsrud C.	13. Pietila L.
22. Smith M.	12. Posma M.
13. Wagner R.	22. Quercia M.
14. Wood B.	24. Thompson T.
Substitutes
35. Torchia N. (G)	33. Gauthier T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:54, 1 - 0, Colella M. (G), Wood B. (A), Fyten S. (A2)
06:34, 1 - 1, Posma M. (G), Kuqali A. (A), Andrew T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:47, 1 - 2, Posma M. (G), McAllister R. (A),
05:38, 1 - 3, Thompson T. (G), Quercia M. (A), Graham M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Rapid City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wheeling's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wheeling may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rapid City has had a series of home games.

Wheeling will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapid City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 2.4:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rapid City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 2.4:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapid City Rush
ECHL
06.03.26	Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers	3:4 ✺
04.03.26	Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers	3:4 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Tulsa Oilers - Rapid City Rush	6:3 ✺
21.02.26	Rapid City Rush - Worcester Railers	5:3 ✺
20.02.26	Rapid City Rush - Worcester Railers	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Wheeling Nailers
ECHL
06.03.26	Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers	3:4 ✺
04.03.26	Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers	3:4 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Wheeling Nailers - Fort Wayne Komets	2:3 OT ✺
27.02.26	Wheeling Nailers - Kalamazoo Wings	7:2 ✺
25.02.26	Wheeling Nailers - Fort Wayne Komets	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ECHL
06.03.26	Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers	3:4
04.03.26	Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers	3:4 penalties
14.12.19	Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers	2:3
13.12.19	Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers	1:3
11.12.19	Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers	3:4

Rapid City Rush - Wheeling Nailers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide