The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TWK Innsbruck 20.7%
Draw 18.9%
Red Bull Salzburg 60.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.1%
19.2%
59.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
18.3%
56.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
TWK Innsbruck - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Harvey S. (G)
35. Tolvanen A. (G)
59. Messner J. (A)
62. Kalynuk W.
18. Mayer C.
22. Robertson D. (A)
89. Bar L.
39. Rattie T.
22. Davis B.
70. Nissner B.
21. Benker S.
12. Raffl M. (A)
Line 2
12. Wichers Q.
95. Horl L.
77. Lindner P. (A)
4. Nienhuis N.
47. Witting M. (C)
96. Huber M. (C)
96. Owre S.
77. Brooks A.
71. Macierzynski K.
24. Poisson N.
Line 3
13. Frimmel W.
6. Lee J.
65. Kernberger M.
92. Rebernig A.
20. Rappold K.
9. Wukovits A.
16. Richards J.
89. Baltram F.
95. Scherbak N.
16. Auer L. C.
Line 4
4. Stoffler E.
29. Krainer B.
29. Klingler L.
81. Schnabl J.
63. Bretschneider N.
26. Hochkofler P.
5. Kerber N.
68. Gesson A.
8. Bohm M.
Substitutes
81. Brandner J. (G)
30. Kickert D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
07:42, 0 - 1, Nissner B. (G), Raffl M. (A), Rattie T. (A2)
11:53, 1 - 1, Mayer C. (G), Benker S. (A),
14:27, 1 - 2, Bohm M. (G), Gesson A. (A),
19:26, 2 - 2, Owre S. (G), Messner J. (A), Benker S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:10, 2 - 3, Poisson N. (G), Nienhuis N. (A), Huber M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:40, 2 - 4, Raffl M. (G), Huber M. (A),
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 12th and 10th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Innsbruck won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Innsbruck may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Red Bull Salzburg carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Innsbruck in today's match, at odds of 4.67.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Innsbruck has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:70 (averaging 2:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Innsbruck against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 18:35 goals (averaging 1.8:3.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Salzburg
15
8
0
1
6
47:47
25
13
TWK Innsbruck
16
3
3
0
10
34:53
15
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Salzburg: 13.35% TWK Innsbruck: 0.81%
Last Results with these Odds
TWK Innsbruck - the odds 4.38 are the expected chance of winning is 21.07%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.68%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
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Harvey S. (G) 
Tolvanen A. (G) 
Mayer C. 
Benker S. 
Scherbak N. 
Hochkofler P. 
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