The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calgary Hitmen 17.9%
Draw 17.3%
Medicine Hat Tigers 64.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
19%
58.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.8%
20.1%
55.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Hitmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Medicine Hat Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Medicine Hat Tigers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calgary Hitmen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Medicine Hat Tigers than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Medicine Hat Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Tu E. (G)
31. Switzer J. (G)
17. Amrhein L.
34. Basha A. (A)
7. Aura H.
10. Bryzgalov Y.
22. Dach K. (A)
16. Cozens L.
4. Hamilton C.
17. Cunningham C.
25. Hildebrandt S.
39. Davidson N.
6. Hurtig A. (C)
11. Gordon-Carroll S.
21. Jundt K.
5. McCann K. (A)
9. Lodewyk H.
25. Muhonen N.
14. Meunier T.
29. Neutens E.
2. Meyer K.
20. Parr C.
8. Molgachyov A.
27. Pickford B. (C)
18. Moore E. (A)
14. Reschny D.
12. Pisarczyk W.
12. Ruck L.
26. Poole J.
26. Ruck M.
33. Seidl J.
3. Steen R.
39. Trevors L.
21. Stengrim K.
15. Vanek B.
23. Vaisanen V.
34. Wilkie C.
22. Van Mulligen J. (A)
18. Woo J.
Substitutes
30. Hesse A. (G)
30. Casey C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
05:59, 0 - 1, Davidson N. (G), Steen R. (A), Vaisanen V. (A2)
09:49, 1 - 1, Vanek B. (G), Trevors L. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
10:23, 1 - 2, Vaisanen V. (G), Pickford B. (A), Basha A. (A2)
14:56, 1 - 3, Woo J. (G), Ruck L. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
05:04, 2 - 3, Moore E. (G),
10:43, 2 - 4, Stengrim K. (G), Gordon-Carroll S. (A),
18:19, 2 - 5, Neutens E. (G), Parr C. (A),
Preview
Medicine Hat Tigers leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 0.
Recent performances by Calgary have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Medicine Hat is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Calgary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Calgary has had a series of away games.
In this match, Medicine Hat is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 47:84. (average 2.4:4.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 2.3:3.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Medicine Hat Tigers - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Tu E. (G) 
Amrhein L. 
Bryzgalov Y. 
Hurtig A. (C) 
Muhonen N. 
Molgachyov A. 
Seidl J. 
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