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Current Win Probability
Medicine Hat Tigers 57.6%
Draw 18.8%
Calgary Hitmen 23.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.3%
18.6%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
19.8%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Medicine Hat Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Calgary Hitmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Medicine Hat Tigers than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (+1%)
Medicine Hat Tigers - Calgary Hitmen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Casey C. (G)
30. Hesse A. (G)
25. Bodtker L.
17. Amrhein L.
10. Bryzgalov Y.
15. Anaka G.
7. Burmis J.
7. Aura H. (A)
16. Cozens L. (A)
14. Belanger G.
36. Craig J.
29. Brown B. (A)
23. Evaschesen J. (A)
23. Correia A.
11. Gordon-Carroll S.
4. Hamilton C.
29. Hayes O.
26. Hildebrandt S.
24. Holberton B.
21. Jundt K.
5. McCann K.
11. Katsuro A.
2. Moss T.
25. Kresl C.
6. Phillips M.
5. Laylin B.
14. Reschny D.
6. Leander J.
12. Ruck L.
27. Maze J.
26. Ruck M. (A)
10. McCann K.
15. Ruptash L.
8. Molgachyov A.
3. Steen R.
9. Sanderson C. (C)
28. Warrener L.
2. Simard M.
18. Vanek B.
Substitutes
35. Christie C. (G)
31. Tu E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
05:11, 0 - 1, Maze J. (G), McCann K. (A), Molgachyov A. (A2)
18:09, 1 - 1, Bryzgalov Y. (G), Ruck M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:23, 1 - 2, Sanderson C. (G), Laylin B. (A), Katsuro A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
09:08, 2 - 2, Evaschesen J. (G), Gordon-Carroll S. (A), Burmis J. (A2)
14:58, 2 - 3, Maze J. (G),
16:44, 2 - 4, Vanek B. (G), Jundt K. (A),
18:15, 2 - 5, Maze J. (G), Hesse A. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - WHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 8th in the Promotion - WHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medicine Hat won 5.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Medicine Hat could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Calgary has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Medicine Hat for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Medicine Hat has recorded 18 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 89:51 (averaging 4.5:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Medicine Hat against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 45:24 goals (averaging 5:2.7 per game).
Watch
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Casey C. (G) 
Bodtker L. 
Bryzgalov Y. 
Katsuro A. 
Leander J. 
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