Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 10

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	EHC Lustenau		Fassa

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.75	4.6
	1.33	5.55	5.55
	1.35	5.2	5.09
	1.37	6.46	5.8
	1.36	5	5
	1.36	5.75	5.59
	1.36	6.2	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)	5.7 ↑ (5.23)	5.22 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
66.7%

Draw
15.9%

Fassa
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

17.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

17%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Fassa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

EHC Lustenau - Fassa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 3.

Recent matches Lustenau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fassa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lustenau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lustenau is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lustenau to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 79-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 39-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
22.02.24	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	7:2 ✺
15.02.24	Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau	5:4 ✺
03.02.24	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	6:7 ✺
01.02.24	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW
- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
22.02.24	Fassa - Unterland Cavaliers	1:3 ✺
17.02.24	Kitzbühel - Fassa	5:2 ✺
03.02.24	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	6:7 ✺
27.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	7:5 ✺
25.01.24	Fassa - KAC II	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
03.02.24	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	6:7
09.12.23	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	4:2
21.09.23	EHC Lustenau - Fassa	4:1
06.11.22	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	4:5 OT
17.09.22	EHC Lustenau - Fassa	2:3 OT
24.02.22	EHC Lustenau - Fassa	5:3
03.02.22	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	2:3 penalties

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