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Current Win Probability
RoKi U20 14.6%
Draw 17.2%
Lukko U20 68.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.5%
17%
69.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.3%
18%
65.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RoKi U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoKi U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
RoKi U20 - Lukko U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
03:28, 0 - 1, Pulakka V. (G), Vechet P. (A), Vatjus M. (A2)
11:23, 0 - 2, Julkunen A. (G), Vatjus M. (A), Schwarz J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:40, 1 - 2, Seppala O. (G), Pralong R. (A), Uimonen A. (A2)
09:31, 1 - 3, Tukiainen J. (G), Sahlstedt D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
12:08, 1 - 4, Vechet P. (G), Leppa M. (A), Vaaranen V. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi U20 won 3.
RoKi U20 has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Lukko U20 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Lukko U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, RoKi U20 has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, Lukko U20 enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, RoKi U20 has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:21 (averaging 2.7:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for RoKi U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:11 goals (averaging 3.7:3.7 per game).