Match Info

AHL

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Coca-Cola Coliseum (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Toronto Marlies		Hartford Wolf Pack

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.2	2.9	Watch
	2.07	4	2.9
	2.08	4.3	2.83
	2.06	4.34	2.82	Watch
	1.95	4	2.9
	2.06	4.33	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.99)	4.2 ↓ (4.23)	2.86 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto Marlies
45.7%

Draw
22%

Hartford Wolf Pack
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

22%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

23.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Hartford Wolf Pack has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Toronto Marlies - Hartford Wolf Pack Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)	30. Martin S. (G)
48. Baddock B.	21. Blidh A. (A)
68. Barbolini M.	19. Brisson B.
64. Buhr B.	38. Dorrington J.
58. Chadwick N.	4. Fitzgerald C. (C)
43. Haymes L.	64. Fix-Wolansky T.
57. Johnstone M. (A)	59. Karpa Z.
66. King Ben	26. Lamb B.
36. Mermis D. (A)	7. McCarthy C.
92. Nylander A.	18. McConnell-Barker B.
56. Pare C.	5. Merisier-Ortiz C.
97. Sharpe C.	3. Moore C.
11. Shaw L. (C)	55. Morrow S.
42. Sim L.	28. Roobroeck D.
59. Smith B.	58. Scanlin B.
3. Thrun H.	10. Sykora A.
77. Tverberg R.	11. Terrance C.
39. Valis B.	6. Thompson A.
76. Villeneuve W.	85. Walcott D.
Substitutes
35. Hildeby D. (G)	35. Tung C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:39, 0 - 1, Morrow S. (G), McConnell-Barker B. (A), Terrance C. (A2)
12:13, 1 - 1, Shaw L. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Nylander A. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 1)
00:37, 2 - 1, Shaw L. (G), Haymes L. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
01:01, 3 - 1, Haymes L. (G), Thrun H. (A), Johnstone M. (A2)
03:03, 3 - 2, Lamb B. (G), McConnell-Barker B. (A), Terrance C. (A2)
12:21, 4 - 2, King Ben (G), Haymes L. (A), Valis B. (A2)
13:08, 5 - 2, Tverberg R. (G), Shaw L. (A), Nylander A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:39, 6 - 2, Sim L. (G), Baddock B. (A), Johnstone M. (A2)
18:58, 6 - 3, Terrance C. (G),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 60:44. (average 3.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 3.5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Hartford Wolf Pack - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.3%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto Marlies
AHL
17.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Cleveland Monsters	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies	4:3 OT ✺
11.03.26	Syracuse Crunch - Toronto Marlies	1:5 ✺
08.03.26	Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWL
- Hartford Wolf Pack
AHL
18.03.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hartford Wolf Pack	2:5 ✺
17.03.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hartford Wolf Pack	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Providence Bruins - Hartford Wolf Pack	7:0 ✺
13.03.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Cleveland Monsters	1:3 ✺
11.03.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Cleveland Monsters	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
24.01.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Toronto Marlies	1:4
23.03.24	Toronto Marlies - Hartford Wolf Pack	5:1
17.12.23	Hartford Wolf Pack - Toronto Marlies	3:4 OT
05.04.23	Hartford Wolf Pack - Toronto Marlies	2:1 OT
11.03.23	Toronto Marlies - Hartford Wolf Pack	3:2 OT
15.04.22	Toronto Marlies - Hartford Wolf Pack	4:1
19.01.22	Hartford Wolf Pack - Toronto Marlies	5:2

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