The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chelmet 22.6%
Draw 22.2%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 55.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.4%
21.1%
57.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
21.3%
57.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Chelmet will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Metallurg N will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
93. Mosharov D. (G)
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
65. Borbuzanov G.
12. Kryukov T.
5. Borodkin A. (A)
89. Teryayev S. (C)
91. Tsyplakov G.
33. Shablovsky Z.
95. Aglamzyanov R.
40. Apalkov D. (A)
97. Matyushin A. (A)
59. Perevalov A.
Line 2
80. Semenikhin M.
9. Belov D.
26. Kovalenko A.
67. Afanasyev M. (A)
50. Yekimov N.
18. Serdyuk Y.
57. Telegin N.
17. Podkorytov A.
34. Gusmanov F.
10. Sheshin D.
Line 3
81. Isakov Y.
47. Medvedev P.
21. Pronichkin A.
4. Churkin V.
14. Zinovyev I. (C)
41. Aliyev R.
42. Sharov A.
71. Grzheletsky M.
90. Golovnyov Y.
87. Gerasimov S.
Line 4
89. Fedoseyev Y.
86. Doroshenko M.
61. Kozyrskikh M.
29. Vasilkov A.
73. Mits Z.
81. Spiridonov Y.
67. Shchekoldin K.
28. Ospanov R.
Substitutes
87. Anufriyenko N.
97. Galimov E.
31. Podomatsky M. (G)
1. Lozebnikov D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
13:00, 0 - 1, Serdyuk Y. (G), Doroshenko M. (A), Podkorytov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
12:39, 0 - 2, Vasilkov A. (G), Shablovsky Z. (A),
19:28, 0 - 3, Serdyuk Y. (G), Podkorytov A. (A), Aliyev R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:19, 1 - 3, Golovnyov Y. (G), Isakov Y. (A), Aglamzyanov R. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 0.
Chelmet has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Metallurg N has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Metallurg N may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Metallurg N is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Chelmet has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:52 (averaging 1.6:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chelmet against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 15:24 goals (averaging 1.7:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
20
9
3
3
5
41:26
27
29
Chelmet Chelyabinsk
17
3
1
2
11
30:62
10
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.55%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
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Mosharov D. (G) 
Ospanov R. 
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