Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.58	1.74
	3.85	4.06	1.78	Watch
	3.23	4.15	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	4.26 ↑ (3.8)	1.82 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
26.4%

Draw
22%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

24.7%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

24.6%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chelmet will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Metallurg N will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Metallurg N (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Sherstnev S. (G)	73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
22. Filatov A.	8. Naumov V. (A)
18. Mikanovich D.	47. Churkin V.
67. Shchekoldin K.	88. Shalagin M.
57. Telegin N.	40. Apalkov D. (C)
17. Yekimov N.	59. Perevalov A.
Line 2
73. Fedoseyev Y.	9. Belov D.
79. Savelyev A.	77. Vinogradov A.
97. Matyushin A.	17. Sokolov D.
83. Gorbunov S.	89. Guslistov N. (A)
10. Nizameyev A.	10. Sheshin D.
Line 3
90. Klimontov K. (A)	75. Starikov L.
42. Yusupov V.	12. Kryukov T.
29. Mokin M. (A)	18. Serdyuk Y.
37. Mits Z.	24. Khrapov F.
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	97. Ovchinnikov D.
Line 4
77. Tertyshny A.	7. Puzanov A.
66. Drugalya S.	33. Shablovsky Z.
33. Rykmanov A.	50. Kurbatov V.
16. Shen A.	14. Mikhalyov V.
46. Shaveko V.
Substitutes
93. Mosharov D. (G)	94. Bogdanov N. (G)
	71. Grzheletsky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
15:15, 0 - 1, Mikhalyov V. (G), Shablovsky Z. (A), Puzanov A. (A2)
17:01, 1 - 1, Mokin M. (G), Mits Z. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:06, 2 - 1, Zinovyev I. (G), Yusupov V. (A), Mits Z. (A2)
13:33, 2 - 2, Naumov V. (G), Serdyuk Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
13:26, 2 - 3, Shalagin M. (G), Vinogradov A. (A), Ovchinnikov D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chelmet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Metallurg N could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 24:46. (average 1.5:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.6:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.8%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
18.10.25	Chelmet - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 ✺
16.10.25	Chelmet - Norilsk	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
09.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWW
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
18.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	6:4 ✺
16.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:5 ✺
11.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Torpedo-Gorky	7:3 ✺
09.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Khimik	2:3 ✺
07.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.03.25	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2
13.09.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	2:0
24.01.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	3:1
28.09.23	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2
22.01.23	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:4
03.10.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	1:2
13.01.22	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:2

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