The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SKA Saint Petersburg 45.9%
Draw 23.3%
Salavat Yulaev Ufa 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
22.6%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
24.3%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA Saint Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Salavat Yulaev Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA Saint Petersburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salavat Yulaev Ufa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
41.7%
8.3%
SKA Saint Petersburg - Salavat Yulaev Ufa Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. SKA will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Salavat Yulaev will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for SKA: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. SKA (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Ivanov S. (G)
35. Vyazovoy S. (G)
18. Phillips M.
52. Zorkin N.
9. Sapego S. (A)
11. Panin G. (C)
71. Korotky M.
57. Brosseau D.
61. Khairullin M. (A)
56. Rempal S.
41. Polyakov M.
21. Rodewald J. (A)
Line 2
2. Koledov P.
73. Tsulygin Y.
34. Savikov Y.
43. Kulik Y.
81. Leipsic B.
97. Zharovskiy A.
42. Vorobyov M.
92. Kuznetsov E.
23. Grimaldi R.
72. Suchkov Y.
Line 3
47. Zelenov Y.
18. Stewart D.
3. Pedan A.
78. Butuzov V.
87. Goldobin N.
62. Khokhryakov P.
20. Wilson S.
61. Alalykin D.
16. Plotnikov S. (C)
Line 4
79. Galenyuk D.
96. Gazimov I.
97. Nugmanov A.
8. Komarov A.
68. Nedopyokin N.
71. Kuznetsov M.
55. Dishkovsky N.
65. Yefremov V. (A)
13. Gorshkov A.
Substitutes
73. Pleshkov A. (G)
70. Konovalov I. (G)
Coaches
. Larionov I.
. Kozlov V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
02:16, 1 - 0, Pedan A. (G), Galenyuk D. (A), Plotnikov S. (A2)
15:32, 2 - 0, Zelenov Y. (G), Goldobin N. (A), Wilson S. (A2)
17:48, Zharovskiy A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
07:39, Brosseau D. (2 min),
09:20, Kuznetsov M. (2 min),
19:35, Stewart D. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:35, Kulik Y. (2 min),
08:41, (2 min),
09:26, 3 - 0, Goldobin N. (G), Plotnikov S. (A), Sapego S. (A2)
11:36, Kulik Y. (2 min),
11:36, Zharovskiy A. (5 min),
12:40, 4 - 0, Khairullin M. (G), Savikov Y. (A), Polyakov M. (A2)
15:07, Brosseau D. (2 min),
16:07, Korotky M. (2 min),
16:13, Galenyuk D. (2 min),
19:39, Kulik Y. (2 min),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA won 3.
SKA is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Salavat Yulaev is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
SKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, SKA has had a series of away games.
SKA could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 58:47. (average 2.9:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, SKA won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 2.8:2.1).
Outrights of KHL for now
SKA St. Petersburg: 4.32% Salavat Ufa: 2.16%
Last Results with these Odds
Salavat Yulaev Ufa - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.76%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.