Match Info

KHL

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ufa-Arena (Ufa)


	Salavat Yulaev Ufa		Metallurg Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.69	3.7	2.33
	2.65	3.65	2.3
	2.9	4.14	2.17	Watch
	2.7	4	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.35)	3.87 ↓ (4.46)	2.24 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salavat Yulaev Ufa
34.2%

Draw
24.1%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

21.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

20.8%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salavat Yulaev Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salavat Yulaev Ufa's performance.

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metallurg Magnitogorsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salavat Yulaev Ufa than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salavat Yulaev Ufa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Magnitogorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Salavat Yulaev will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salavat Yulaev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Vyazovoy S. (G)	20. Smolin A. (G)
4. Alexeyev A.	55. Provolnev V. (A)
52. Zorkin N. (A)	56. Khabarov M.
57. Brosseau D.	28. Tolchinsky S.
21. Rodewald J. (A)	27. Todd N.
56. Rempal S.	29. Vovchenko D.
Line 2
18. Stewart D.	74. Siryatsky A.
73. Tsulygin Y.	9. Orekhov V.
61. Alalykin D.	14. Silantyev D.
87. Shipachyov V. (C)	22. Iskhakov R.
72. Suchkov Y.	11. Mikhailis N.
Line 3
89. Shcherbakov N.	72. Minulin A.
43. Kulik Y.	44. Yakovlev Y. (C)
81. Maggio M.	84. Fyodorov M.
37. Zagrebin M.	39. Kozlov A.
97. Zharovskiy A.	92. Kadyshev K.
Line 4
32. Varlov S.	87. Palivko D.
8. Komarov A.	94. Korobkin Y. (A)
79. Nabiev A.	93. Nechayev I.
65. Yefremov V.	96. Korotkov N.
78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
Substitutes
33. Bogdanov N. (G)	30. Zavragin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Kozlov V.	. Razin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:15, (2 min),
10:08, 0 - 1, Todd N. (G), Tolchinsky S. (A), Vovchenko D. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
07:31, 0 - 2, Nechayev I. (G), Korobkin Y. (A),
08:39, Vovchenko D. (2 min),
09:18, Iskhakov R. (2 min),
09:56, 1 - 2, Rempal S. (G), Alexeyev A. (A), Rodewald J. (A2)
10:38, 2 - 2, Rempal S. (G), Shipachyov V. (A), Alexeyev A. (A2)
13:33, Nechayev I. (2 min),
14:36, 2 - 3, Tolchinsky S. (G), Iskhakov R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:54, Suchkov Y. (2 min),
03:21, Zagrebin M. (2 min),
08:50, Zorkin N. (2 min),
09:09, 2 - 4, Todd N. (G), Orekhov V. (A), Fyodorov M. (A2)
11:10, Korobkin Y. (2 min),
19:48, 3 - 4, Maggio M. (G), Yefremov V. (A), Zharovskiy A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salavat Yulaev won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Salavat Yulaev could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Metallurg M holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Salavat Yulaev has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:55 (averaging 2.9:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Salavat Yulaev against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 24:21 goals (averaging 2.7:2.3 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Salavat Ufa: 3.03%

Last Results with these Odds

Salavat Yulaev Ufa - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 28.97%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 49.27%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salavat Yulaev Ufa
KHL
20.09.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Spartak Moscow	3:1 ✺
18.09.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Ak Bars Kazan	3:4 OT ✺
09.09.26	Barys Astana - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	8:6 ✺
07.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLLW
- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
20.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	6:2 ✺
18.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:2 AET ✺
11.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:2 AET
KHL
11.03.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2 OT
13.02.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:3 penalties
16.10.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	6:4
08.09.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:3 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:5
KHL
03.02.25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	6:4

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