Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Kristall (Tambov)


	Tambov		Toros Neftekamsk

	1	X	2
	2.41	3.84	2.52	Watch
	2.25	4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.32)	3.92 ↑ (3.67)	2.46 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
39.3%

Draw
23.4%

Toros Neftekamsk
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

24.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

25.9%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Tambov - Toros Neftekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
22. Korolev T. (G)	49. Braginsky D. (G)
72. Vasin I. (A)	85. Budnitsky V. (A)
24. Mamkin M.	3. Shatilo I.
74. Zhabreyev A.	56. Suvorov A.
7. Kamenev V.	22. Sorokin Y. (A)
51. Dubrovsky Y. (C)	79. Nabiev A.
Line 2
57. Baranov V.	4. Chebotaryov V. (C)
38. Yepishin M.	9. Orlov G.
92. Korinevsky M. (A)	17. Sychyov V.
71. Koltygin P.	81. Volokitin P.
63. Valitsky I.	14. Chyorny A.
Line 3
95. Pesterev V.	96. Gazimov I.
6. Gromov N.	52. Kolganov A.
84. Nizovkin M.	44. Khvorov N.
96. Pyanov E.	72. Zavizhsky M.
43. Ugolnikov A.	24. Andreichenko V.
Line 4
67. Karimov T.	36. Gunkin Y.
86. Kopyltsov S.	82. Kuznetsov A.
87. Gorbunov Y.	25. Valeyev T.
33. Mukhanov T.	38. Skoropad N.
Substitutes
60. Golovlev V. (G)	1. Yelin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:26, 0 - 1, Skoropad N. (G), Valeyev T. (A),
05:09, 1 - 1, Kopyltsov S. (G), Yepishin M. (A),
06:48, 2 - 1, Nizovkin M. (G), Pyanov E. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:32, 2 - 2, Nabiev A. (G), Suvorov A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:58, 3 - 2, Koltygin P. (G), Korinevsky M. (A), Valitsky I. (A2)
20', 4 - 2, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 4.

Recent performances by Tambov have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Toros is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tambov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:35. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 2.4:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
13	Toros Neftekamsk	12	6	0	2	4	30:29	14
15	Tambov	11	5	1	1	4	29:31	13

Last Results with these Odds

Tambov - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.17%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tambov
VHL
10.01.26	Tambov - Izhstal	2:1 ✺
24.12.25	AKM - Tambov	4:2 ✺
22.12.25	Ryazan - Tambov	4:3 OT ✺
20.12.25	Dizel Penza - Tambov	3:5 ✺
18.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Tambov	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLLWW
- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
10.01.26	Rostov - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Toros Neftekamsk	2:4 ✺
28.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:0 ✺
24.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.11.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Tambov	2:3 penalties
22.02.25	Tambov - Toros Neftekamsk	2:3 penalties
28.09.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Tambov	1:4
27.01.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Tambov	3:4
24.09.23	Tambov - Toros Neftekamsk	2:1
01.02.23	Toros Neftekamsk - Tambov	2:1 OT
20.09.22	Tambov - Toros Neftekamsk	2:1 penalties

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