Match Info

Date: 7 January 2022, Friday


	SaPKo		RoKi

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.75	3.5
	1.75	4.6	3.1
	1.81	5	3.05
	1.78	4.4	3.3
	1.88	5.03	2.98
	1.75	4.6	3.3
	1.96	4.4	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	4.68 ↑ (4.49)	3.18 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaPKo
51.2%

Draw
19.7%

RoKi
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

20.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

16.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaPKo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

RoKi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaPKo than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SaPKo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RoKi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SaPKo - RoKi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

SaPKo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

RoKi in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

SaPKo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently RoKi have a series of guest games.

SaPKo will have a mini benefit in this match.

SaPKo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 23 head-to-head matches SaPKo won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 76-80.

Including matches at home between the teams SaPKo won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 43-36.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaPKo
Finnish Mestis
30.12.21	SaPKo - Imatran Ketterä	2:5 ✺
29.12.21	Imatran Ketterä - SaPKo	8:5 ✺
18.12.21	IPK - SaPKo	4:1 ✺
17.12.21	SaPKo - Hokki	3:1 ✺
15.12.21	Kiekko-Vantaa - SaPKo	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Rovaniemen Kiekko
Finnish Mestis
06.01.22	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	0:4 ✺
04.01.22	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	2:4 ✺
29.12.21	Hokki - RoKi	4:6 ✺
28.12.21	RoKi - Hokki	4:3 ✺
18.12.21	Peliitat Heinola - RoKi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
10.12.21	RoKi - SaPKo	2:3 OT
02.10.21	SaPKo - RoKi	2:5
11.03.20	RoKi - SaPKo	7:0
21.02.20	SaPKo - RoKi	4:6
18.12.19	SaPKo - RoKi	2:5
17.11.19	RoKi - SaPKo	4:3 penalties
27.02.19	RoKi - SaPKo	6:3

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