Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	IPK		SaPKo

	1	X	2
	2	4.35	2.9
	2.05	3.8	2.75
	2.1	4	2.83
	2	3.95	3
	2	4.02	3.17
	2.1	4	2.88
	2.02	4.25	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.09)	4.05 ↑ (4.04)	2.93 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IPK
45.5%

Draw
22.9%

SaPKo
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

23%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

19.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

SaPKo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IPK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaPKo than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SaPKo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

IPK - SaPKo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

IPK is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SaPKo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

IPK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

IPK will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 29 head-to-head matches IPK won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 20 matches and goals 82-126.

Including matches at home between the teams IPK won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 49-55.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
14.12.21	IPK - Hermes Kokkola	0:3 ✺
11.12.21	Imatran Ketterä - IPK	5:1 ✺
10.12.21	IPK - TuTo	3:4 OT ✺
08.12.21	KeuPa - IPK	4:2 ✺
04.12.21	IPK - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- SaPKo
Finnish Mestis
17.12.21	SaPKo - Hokki	3:1 ✺
15.12.21	Kiekko-Vantaa - SaPKo	4:3 penalties ✺
11.12.21	Hermes Kokkola - SaPKo	3:5 ✺
10.12.21	RoKi - SaPKo	2:3 OT ✺
08.12.21	SaPKo - Peliitat Heinola	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
20.11.21	SaPKo - IPK	4:1
16.10.21	IPK - SaPKo	2:1 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.09.20	SaPKo - IPK	0:1
04.09.20	IPK - SaPKo	6:5 OT
Finnish Mestis
19.02.20	SaPKo - IPK	5:4 penalties
03.01.20	IPK - SaPKo	3:4
09.10.19	SaPKo - IPK	3:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
31.10.26	IPK - Nokian Pyry	✺

IPK - SaPKo