Match Info

OHL

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Dow Event Center (Saginaw, MI)


	Saginaw Spirit		Brampton Steelheads

	1	X	2
	1.93	4.36	2.94
	1.85	4.2	3
	1.9	4.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.98)	4.27 ↓ (4.3)	2.93 ↑ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saginaw Spirit
47.9%

Draw
21.2%

Brampton Steelheads
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

21.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

20.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Brampton Steelheads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brampton Steelheads than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Shurygin S. (G)	31. Bowen Z. (G)
14. Barabanov E.	42. Amado M.
6. Barch H.	10. Ardagh K.
72. Barnes B.	11. Bottineau J.
42. Cloutier J.	44. Cartwright O.
95. Geldart G.	9. Demiglio J.
15. Gervais S. (A)	17. Demiglio L.
5. Glavin J. (A)	18. Eggleton W.
73. Guo J.	8. Gee R.
88. Hanrahan R.	28. Goyette S. M.
13. Harmer C.	2. Green D.
4. Harper L.	4. Green P.
9. Jones G.	25. Kuipers T.
98. Klepov N.	77. Patton T.
62. Pepoy B.	73. Richmond M.
10. Rausa J.	97. Stankoven M.
11. Roscoe D.	6. Von Richter P. (A)
92. Sima N. (A)	13. Witkowski K.
17. Velliaris X.	19. Zebeski M. (C)
71. Zhilkin D. (A)
Substitutes
31. Papineau K. (G)	96. Johnson L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:30, 1 - 0, Zhilkin D. (G), Klepov N. (A), Harmer C. (A2)
18:05, 1 - 1, Kuipers T. (G), Von Richter P. (A), Demiglio J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:53, 2 - 1, Klepov N. (G), Harper L. (A), Barabanov E. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
07:37, 3 - 1, Barabanov E. (G), Klepov N. (A), Cloutier J. (A2)
13:08, 3 - 2, Demiglio L. (G), Ardagh K. (A), Von Richter P. (A2)
15:10, 3 - 3, Zebeski M. (G), Von Richter P. (A), Kuipers T. (A2)
19:08, 4 - 3, Klepov N. (G), Barch H. (A), Sima N. (A2)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Saginaw is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brampton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Saginaw may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Saginaw might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Saginaw will win today's game, with odds of 1.98.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 2.3:3.7).

Including home match between the teams, Saginaw won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.

Last Results with these Odds

Saginaw Spirit - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.89%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saginaw Spirit
OHL
03.01.26	Saginaw Spirit - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	5:3 ✺
31.12.25	Windsor Spitfires - Saginaw Spirit	6:0 ✺
30.12.25	Saginaw Spirit - Sarnia Sting	5:1 ✺
28.12.25	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Saginaw Spirit	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Saginaw Spirit - Oshawa Generals	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWWW
- Brampton Steelheads
OHL
03.01.26	Flint Firebirds - Brampton Steelheads	1:2 ✺
29.12.25	Brampton Steelheads - Niagara IceDogs	3:4 ✺
28.12.25	Niagara IceDogs - Brampton Steelheads	4:3 ✺
20.12.25	Brampton Steelheads - Kingston Frontenacs	2:4 ✺
19.12.25	Brampton Steelheads - Barrie Colts	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
06.12.25	Brampton Steelheads - Saginaw Spirit	4:1
30.11.24	Saginaw Spirit - Brampton Steelheads	3:5
19.10.24	Brampton Steelheads - Saginaw Spirit	2:3 OT

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