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Current Win Probability
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds 47.2%
Draw 19.4%
Saginaw Spirit 33.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
20.8%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
21.8%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Vermirovsky D. (G)
30. Knowling B. (G)
20. Anderson C.
72. Barnes B.
8. Ashcroft C.
42. Cloutier J. (A)
15. Barbeau K.
95. Geldart G.
28. Brown C.
14. George B.
14. Croskery C.
5. Glavin J. (A)
83. Daley T.
88. Hanrahan R.
16. Evans S. (A)
4. Harper L. (A)
77. Fitzgerald C.
7. Khotkov G.
13. Hayes T. (C)
12. Leenders H.
91. Laus N.
24. Martyniuk T.
11. Long N.
2. Meyer K.
93. Martin J.
93. Milojevic A.
24. McKenzie Q. (A)
62. Pepoy B.
12. Smith B.
10. Savin D.
22. Szongoth D.
90. Schmidt S.
3. Turner O.
17. Velliaris X.
17. Weiss C.
66. Wassilyn B.
21. Winkelhofer J.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
36. Miller L. (G)
63. Shurygin S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
03:28, 1 - 0, Brown C. (G), Daley T. (A), Hayes T. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
02:50, 2 - 0, Martin J. (G), Croskery C. (A), Smith B. (A2)
18:06, 3 - 0, Hayes T. (G), Fitzgerald C. (A), Croskery C. (A2)
18:48, 4 - 0, Brown C. (G), Daley T. (A), Hayes T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
14:24, 4 - 1, Cloutier J. (G), Zhilkin D. (A), Wassilyn B. (A2)
15:47, 4 - 2, Martyniuk T. (G), Leenders H. (A), Khotkov G. (A2)
18:05, 5 - 2, Laus N. (G),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 6th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sault Ste. Marie won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Saginaw could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Sault Ste. Marie has faced a series of away games on the road.
Sault Ste. Marie is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sault Ste. Marie has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 73:79 (averaging 3.7:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sault Ste. Marie against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 42:45 goals (averaging 4.2:4.5 per game).
Watch
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Vermirovsky D. (G) 
Knowling B. (G) 
Barnes B. 
Khotkov G. 
Szongoth D. 
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